NationStates Jolt Archive


Chinese elections (open - please vote)

AMW China
29-10-2006, 00:09
[All votes have a weighting of 10% to represent the undecided voters. The outcome off this poll have a chance of changinng the voting dramatically, so yes, it does matter]

For the first nine years of his reign, Emperor Zhang could do no wrong. After averting fears of a bloodbath following the death of Liu and his father shortly before, Zhang's subordinates gracefully removed the remnants of the junta and oversaw a long period of peace and economic growth, instituted elections (how democratic they were was questionable), and invested heavily in education and economic reform to take China to the world's second largest economy again. Instituting elections some 3 years ago, Zhang has let parliament run most of the issues of the country although he has quitely vetoed the laws he didn't like. Nobody seemed to mind - he picked his battles thoughtfully and was populist. Like the great Augustus Caesar, he knew that it was essential to be popular, and like Caesar, he talked, and only talked, about further political reform and restoring true democracy. Under his rule, Chinese foreign policy was assertive but rational - he did not see the communists as the enemy that Liu had made them out to be but kept his eyes on them. With his approval, General Chang pursued a hardline policy against the Roycelandians in the Phillipines and won.

However, his latest decision to suspend trade with the Soviets and to side with what many percieved as "Quintonnian moralist ranting" was one of his most unpopular decisions and he has finally irritated the Social Democrats enough after thwarting their "morally objectionable" bills several dozen times to cause several Social Democrat parliamentarians to organise a rally - one calling for a true Republic and protested China's alignment with Quintonnia. Opinion polls show that perception of the United States is at an all-time low, having fallen since the Filipino incident, took a significant tumble after Quintonnia's declaration of war against Libya. Despite rather biased television coverage of the event with pro-Zhang stations (actually, quite a lot of them since he passed an industry-wide tax break) downplaying the protest, the media did not take into account a major source of news - podcasting and internet blogs, many of them not afraid to lash out against Zhang.

The protest in fact struck a chord throughout the country,from Heilongjiang to Guangdong. After the first day, the protests spread to several more cities in former Xiaguo and a few places in Sino. It appears that divisions from years ago are resurfacing - many elderly men not so forgiving of the Quintonnians who killed their fathers and grandfathers in the first Korean war and the odd factory worker in Xiannese state enterprise who was hard done by when Zhang entered China into the WEC. The protesters burnt US flags and chanted anti-capitalist slogans, with the ever present call for a Republic heard loudly through Tianjin and Liaoning. In Sino, the protests are considerably smaller but take a more sinister anti-Japanese tone, with slogans such as "Nukes saved us from the Japs" being chanted.

In the political manuvering that was now taking place in parliament, Zhang returned to Beijing to find himself in a sticky situation. The United China Party was weakened with news of Hu Jin Tao's intention to join the Social Democrats at the next election, and now General Chang had followed suit, announcing his intention to form or join a suitable centrist party. This meant the UCP had effectively imploded as Chang was regarded as one of the country's best diplomats and general for decades. While Zhang's policies still had the support of the middle and upper classes, it would be an uphill battle to convince voters that a republic could not offer the same policies while also convincing them Zhang was an independent leader rather than a Quintonnian lackey. Zhang now faced a difficult decision : Veto the republican referendum and cause Tianamen square riot/massacre 2, fight against the huge odds to try and win the referendum (which, if he lost, would damage his credibility enough to destroy the UCP.), or volunteeringly abdicate and contest the snap election as a politician, not a monarch. There was also the threat of a leadership challenge from within the UCP which he kept his eye on.

While it was seemingly impossible that he would retain the head of state, he still believed China could benefit further from his rule. With that in mind, Zhang holds a press conference and makes a shock announcement.

Emperor Zhang will dissolve the monarch in response to "the concerns of the people". Mr Zhang will continue to lead the fractured United China Party for the foreseeable future and will bid for re-election next month.

United China Party (UCP) : Lead by Jonathan Zhang, the former Emperor. The party has led the country for the last 5 years and a further 10 years before that on Taiwan. While the UCP's right-wing economic policies have alienated a large portion of the population especially the rural north, the UCP does have a loyal base of middle and upper class voters who would like to see the economy continue its trajectory. However the same voters also percieve Zhang as being weak on foreign policy and a Quintonnian lapdog and it is expected a large portion of the voters will support Chang's KMT. A poll taken after Chang's announcement put the UCP at 15%, a far cry from the 55% they won last election.

Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) : Having just gained a new leader in Chang, the KMT have come from a few Taiwanese seats to a comfortable 18% at the polls. Chang has promised a more assertive and independent foreign policy. His economic policies are more to the left than those of the UCP and Chang has campaigned on a centrist platform with increased support for the working class.

Social Democrats (SD) : Headed by former UCP foreign affair ministers Hu Jin Tao, the Social Democrats have plenty of momentum heading into the election, recieving a boost from Zhang's abdication. In terms of foreign policy, the Social Democrats would like China to pursue closer ties with the Shining Sphere of Prosperity as well as attempt to establish trade with the Soviet commonwealth. The Social Democrats would support unions and toughen labour laws as well as establish a minimum wage. They have also dropped the unpopular social policies in support of gay rights that cost them many last election. Currently gaining huge support in the north, where several provinces have recorded 60% support for the party. Polling nationwide at 27%.

Christian China Party (CCP) : Increasingly dominated by Catholics, the CCP follows right-wing political beliefs. The CCP supported Zhang's party in his last term but has shifted to the right on the political spectrum. Currently polling at 4%, but it will not get into parliament on current pollings. The CCP supports in principle the League invasion of "failed socialist states" such as Vietnam and Cambodia, but the ICBM attack on Buenos Aires has forced a rethink.

The Liberal Party (LIB) : Founded only a month ago by one of China's richest businessman Peter Lee, the Liberal Party believes in small government and would eliminate taxes, opting instead for compulsory welfare deductions and medical insurance. The Liberal Party is only liberal in economic policy and is in fact fairly conservative on social policy. It is the richest political party to contest these elections, having recieved more than $300 million in donations in two weeks. The promise of no taxes combined with a media advertising blitzreig has lured a large number of middle and rich businessman to the party with latest pollings indicating it would attract 10% of the voters, mainly the rich. Lee has indicated that the Liberals would not work with the Progressives in a coalition government.

Progressive Coalition (PC) : A loose alliance of environmentalists, unionists, and other leftist campaigners, the Progressive Coalition has campaigned for free healthcare, free education, free housing for the poor, farming subsidies, and other reforms aimed at the poor. The Progressives also support direct democracy - Soviet style, and the payment of compensation to Malaysia and the former Bonstock for war crimes committed by Sino. Unusually, they also support the legalisation of hard drugs and gay rights. Currently enjoying a rise in support, polling at 9%.

Christian Socialism (CS) : Formed by a group of rebel Social Democrat MPs after the last election, the Christian Socialists are part-charity, part-political. They have run several successful literacy and medical programmes in western China. Follows leftist economic policies, but conservative social policy. They are currently in discussion with the Christian China Party about forming a "Christian Alliance" in parliament. Currrently polling at 7%.
Moorington
29-10-2006, 00:36
Liberal Party-

What, um. I didn't bring any biased leaning thinking this will in some way affect the outcome of AMW.

No- not all.
AMW China
30-10-2006, 04:41
A quick bump to get the attention of other AMWers.
Gurguvungunit
30-10-2006, 06:41
Oh, bloody hell. Liberal and Christian Socialist parties are winning. Guess I won't be enjoying the friendship of both China and the USQ any time soon.

Ah, well. Advance Australasia Fair!
AMW China
30-10-2006, 11:36
Political analysts have begun analysing the outcome of a snap poll taken three days before the election [OOC: The poll at 17 votes] and it's implications for international politics.

The smaller parties especially the Christian-based parties and Liberal Party have recorded a major increase in support, and it now looks like the Christian China Party will exceed the 5% threshold required to enter parliament under MMP which has the other right-wing parties breathing a sigh of relief. Political commentators have analysed the post-election coalition arrangements.

Snap poll results :
Christian China Party (CCP) 5.77%
The Liberal Party (LIB) 11.77%
United China Party (UCP) 15.59%
Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) 19.77%
Social Democrats (SD) 28.18%
Christian Socialists (CS) 8.77%
Progressive Coalition (PC) 10.18%

Likely coalition arrangements :

CCP + LIB + UCP + KMT = 52.9%
A centre-right coalition with the leader of the Nationalists Chang likely to become President. Peter Lee will be favoured to lead the country into further economic reform as finance minister, with Zhang and the Christians taking over the social portfolios. There is some bad blood between Zhang and Chang and it will be interesting to see whether this coalition lasts the distance.

KMT + SD + CS = 56.72%
A centre-left coalition with Hu Jin Tao from the Social Democrats as President, Chang as Vice President, and the Christian Socialists controlling the social issues porfolios but leaving most of the economic decision making to the KMT and SD. A very workable option, and likely to be the most stable.

KMT + SD + PC = 58.13%
A far-left and socially liberal coalition with Hu Jin Tao as President. Would be the worst nightmare for China's wealthy. In parliament, the KMT's socially conservative policies will clash with the PC's ideals.

UCP + KMT + SD = 63.54%
A "grand coalition" of the three largest parties in parliament but noted as the least plausible option since both the KMT's Chang and the SD's Hu Jin Tao had defected from the UCP before the election. There would have to be considerable concessions from the United China Party's reform list if this coalition were to go ahead, while the Social Democrats social welfare plans would also be stalled.
AMW China
01-11-2006, 04:52
[Is there a way to close the poll?]

Election day

Final results (at 21 votes in the poll):
Christian China Party (CCP) 5.9%
The Liberal Party (LIB) 12.4%
United China Party (UCP) 16.0%
Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) 19.4%
Social Democrats (SD) 28.0%
Christian Socialists (CS) 8.4%
Progressive Coalition (PC) 9.9%

A late surge by the right wing parties in part aided by public talk of a Liberal-UCP union was unable to break what many expected to be a centre-left victory.

Chang of the KMT has begun negotiations with the Social Democrats about economic and social policy. Hu Jin Tao appears to already be on good terms with the Christian Socialists, but the kingmaker in this election will definitely be the KMT. Who they choose as coalition partner will become the ruling party.
Quinntonian Dra-pol
01-11-2006, 17:25
Well crap. I only saw this when it was closed already. Not cool. Now we have to deal with anti-Quinntonian knuckleheads.

WWJD
Amen.
AMW China
02-11-2006, 04:00
Election Speeches

Nationalists/Democrats

Three days after the election and secret talks between the leaders of the parties, Chang of the KMT makes an official annoucement regarding the choice of coalition partner. Ah, the joys of MMP.

"After intense discussion of economic and social policy as well as the allocation of key posts with both the United China Party and the Social Democrats, the Chinese Nationalists main coalition partner will be the Social Democrats and the Christian Socialists to form a centrist government that will look after those who were left and abandoned behind by the previous right-wing government adminstration."

No suprises there the group of reporters and political analysts thought, the Progressives were too far left anyway. Hu Jin Tao makes his address

"Today, the People's Republic of China is dissolved and in it's place, the Republic of China will be restored. As your President, I would like to thank all of you who voted for the Social Democrats and a better future for us all."

"James Chang of the Chinese Nationalists will be China's new Vice President. Wen Jin Bao will serve the country as the Minister of Finance, while Pastor Edmund Hui will serve as Minister of Social Welfare and Minister of International aid. The posts of foreign affairs and defence will be appointed by VP Chang at a later date."

Now there was a surprise. Chang had wrestled control of both the foreign affairs and defence portfolios from the Social Democrats. He was now the big man in China's foreign policy dealings. Undoubtably he would appoint his own loyal lackeys for those roles. The man had a scary amount of ambition, and how he managed to land both of these powerful portfolios was beyond belief.

United China/Liberal (Opposition)

A shattered Zhang glumly informed waiting media that the election result was a calamity, not only for the United China Party but for China and the entire world.

"If Chang and Hu continue their xenophobic tirades and alienate our long time friends in favour of the extreme left, China will be isolated internationally and will suffer economic consequences."

Peter Lee of the Liberals was noticeably more upbeat although agreed with the sentiments Zhang expressed.

"Southern China may experience what Xiaguo did fifty years ago - another cultural revolution."
Quinntonian Dra-pol
02-11-2006, 17:19
The Quinntonian Prime Minister Vanessa Moerike called her friend Jonathan and expressed her heartfelt sorrow at his loss, and asked him, “I am no expert on Chinese politics, what does all of this mean? What is going to happen to Chinese-Quinntonian relations? How can we help the situation, to make it better for all around? What can I personally do for you, aside from the prayers that you know I am already doing?”

WWJD
Amen.
AMW China
03-11-2006, 12:13
"Well," Jonathan replied, still upset about the drubbing the UCP recieved. "Thank you for your concern. For the next week or so, things will likely stay as they are. I would expect that either the President or the Vice President would visit Washington themselves and state China's new position on the United States within the next fortnight. That new position may involve further ties with the..."

Jonathan Zhang hesitated. "...so called moderate progressives and a reassessment of China's position on Dra-pol."

"President Hu is a very reasonable man and rules by consensus largely whereas VP Chang is quite authoritarian and can come across as threatening. I have never worked with Edmund Hui but he is a very committed Christian as well and worked in an aid agency before this. With VP Chang currently enroute to India it may be for the best if Washington took the first step and invited either Edmund or Hu Jin Tao for talks."
Quinntonian Dra-pol
03-11-2006, 18:31
We would be happy to do so, but where will this change leave our defensive and trade alliances that have been so fruitful for both of us? I mean, the embargo on BG is being lifted for humanitarian reasons, but a re-evaluation of the Chinese position on Dra-pol is definitely nothing that we want to see. I would hope that we could reach some sort of a reasonable compromise. What could the USQ offer China in the way of a bargaining chip?

WWJD
Amen.
AMW China
03-11-2006, 23:17
"Something along the lines of a foreign policy alignment. Both Chang and Hu have got it in their heads that Quintonnia's alliance with China benefits only Washington at Chinese expense. I have not spoken with them about foreign policy since a month ago, so I don't think I can comment more precisely on that matter."
Spyr
13-11-2006, 20:37
Spyr is quick to offer up congratulations to China's new government, and expresses confidence that Sithin and Beijing will continue their growing friendship and cooperation on a variety of regional and international issues.
AMW China
29-01-2007, 09:40
Parliament votes to nationalise public transport companies

Parliament has voted to nationalise and take back into public ownership all stock in privately-owned transport companies after threats of government intervention failed to improve the dismal public transport network.

The Hang Seng fell by almost 2% on the announcement as investors dumped Chinese shares across the board amongst fear of further government regulation in other industries. In particular, stocks of infrastructure companies fell by 10% on average in a horrible day for the stockmarket. It remains to be seen what the reaction overseas will be. Shareholders in virtually country in the world will be affected directly by today's outcome.

Votes for : Christian Socialism, Social Democrats, Chinese Nationalists (conscience vote), Progressive Coalition
Votes against : United China Party, Liberal Party, Chinese Nationalists (Conscience vote)
Abstain : Christian China Party