NationStates Jolt Archive

August 27, 2006
Guantanamo, Cuba

TNT35 KNHC 271758
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
14:00 EDT SUN AUG 27 2006

... ERNESTO MOVING NEAR THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI... MAY HAVE WEAKENED BUT BRINGING TORRENTIAL RAINS TO HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO... SANTIAGO DE CUBA... RANMA... OLGUIN... LAS TUNAS... AND CAMAGUEY. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE ANDPROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... CUBA... THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO... THE FLORIDA KEYS... SOUTHERN FLORIDA... AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ... SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA... INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS... PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 14:00 EDT... 1800Z... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERNESTO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 73.9 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES... 165 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 165 MILES... 260 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH... 15 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF ERNESTO WILL PASS VERY NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS... AND BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH... 120 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT ERNESTO MAY HAVE WEAKENED BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH... AND IF THIS IS CONFIRMED THE SYSTEM WILL BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM ON THE NEXT ADVISORY. STRENGTHENING IS NOT LIKELY UNTIL THE CENTER MOVES AWAY FROM THE MOUNTAINOUS SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM... FROM THE CENTER... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES... 150 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB... 29.59 INCHES.

TIDES OF UP TO 3 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ON JAMAICA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI. TIDES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN CUBA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES... WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES... ARE EXPECTED OVER HAITI... THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... AND PORTIONS OF CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES... WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES... ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF JAMAICA.

REPEATING THE 14:00 EDT POSITION... 17.8 N... 73.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD... NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 1002 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 17:00 EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

The warnings had been posted and people were aware of what was coming. This was the first hurricane of the 2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season and it was predicted to reach Category III strength by the time it bore down on Florida. A lot of factors would determine that, however. The time it spent over Hispanola and Cuba were going to be the main factors on whether or not it would smash into Florida as a Cat III. As a weak Category I, it promised to do some damage to Hispanola and Cuba as it swpet through them. Jamaica, originally slated to get the full hit, had been spared as the hurricane drifted further northeast. They would get tropical storm force winds and rain. With storm surges already at 5 feet throughout the region, minor flooding would be the biggest worry. Windows were boarded up, people took refuge, stocked up on supplies, and began praying. The region was home to the majority of the Roman Catholic population of the Empire and that meant that a lot of praying. Churchs took in people with no where to go and shelters were opened up. Stadiums and school gymnasiums transformed, overnight, into makeshift shelters, complete with supplies, running water, showers, and dryness.

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-track-01.gif

On the ground, people scurried about as the tides washed onto the shores. Meanwhile, at an airbase in central Georgia, six men were preparing to do something extraordinary. They were "Hurricane Hunters" tasked with flying into a hurricane to get precise and important measurements of barometric pressure, wind speed, cloud height, and everything else that allowed meteorologists to study and predict the devastating fury of nature. They would fly a WC-130J Hercules, a modified C-130J Hercules that was equipped with a plethora of weather reconnaissance equipment.

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/hhunter-01.jpg

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/hhunter-02.jpg

Taking off from their airbase in central Georgia, they were at a risk of being struck by the hurricane but they were far enough inland that even if it hit coastal North America, as a Category V, it would be sufficiently weakened by the the overland path. Their mission, today, was like the hundreds and thousands that they had flown before. Flying into a hurricane, an unimaginable feat, was something that these men lived for day in and day out. They were just six of sixty, one plane of ten, that made up a special unit of the Air Force. They surveyed weather, primarily hurricanes and Nor Easters. Since they began flying, hurricanes became far more predictable in terms of where they would go, how they would strengthen, and just what they would do. Advanced early warning, which they could provide, saved hundreds of thousands of lives each and every year. Nature was still a beast, an unrelenting, undefeatable beast, but she could be avoided sometimes.

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-hhunter-01.jpg

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-hhunter-02.jpg

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-hhunter-03.jpg

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-hhunter-04.jpg

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-hhunter-05.jpg

When they landed hours later it was set. The hurricane would gain in strength, it would head through Hispanola and Cuba. They didn't know if it would go to Florida or curve and miss it for the Atlantic or worse, head west, into the Gulf, where the water was warm and where it could strengthen. Its path either way would be determined by its path over Hispanola and Cuba, which would serve to weaken the storm, slightly, before it picked up strength between and after them.


Special Communique on Weather
To All Nations With Tourists in the Empire
URGENT MATTER

A Category I hurricane is heading towards southern Layarteb and will definitely hit Hispanola and Cuba. Nations with tourists remaining in the path of this hurricane are advised to gather them in consulates and embassies as well as to ensure that all are accounted for. Flights into and out of the area will be suspended as the storm tears through the area.

INTERNATIONAL BROADCAST FOR COH CITIZENS

REGARDING TOURISTS IN THE EMPIRE OF LAYARTEB (FLORIDA, HISPANOLA AND CUBA)

FROM THE DEPARTMENT OF TOURISM


Attention all Hirgizstanian citizens/green card holders that are currently on holidays/trips in the above regions of the Empire of Layarteb.

Hurricaine Ernesto, a Category I Hurricaine, is currently on a path toward the aforementioned areas. The EOL has already issued warnings in these areas and we advise all citizens to tune into local Layartebian News Channels, but to also tune in to Hirgizstanian News Corp (or log on to www.hnc.coh/ernesto), for any and all information.

At this time the Department of Tourism is asking all citizens that are currently in the path of Ernesto to get to the nearest consulate/embassy for shelter. Citizens are advised to bring the following items:

Passport/Official Documents
Water
Blankets
Packagaed or Tinned Food
Torches
Radios
One-Two Changes of Clothes

You are advised to bring the minimal amount of belongings so as to be able to move quickly. Transport will be organised for disabled citizens, simply contact the nearest consulate or embassy to arrange this.

If you cannot get to a Hirgizstanian consulate/embassy then we advise you to make your way to the nearest Hurricaine Shelter, they will be advertised by the Layartebian authorities.

We advise you not to leave it too late to make it to safety.

Department of Tourism Helpline: (02) 0900 002 4539
Website: www.dot.coh

ISSUED AT 1515 HOURS, SUNDAY AUGUST 27 2006 BY THE DEPARTMENT OF TOURISM, CAPE VERDE, COH

OOC: FYI, in the Empire the entire island is known as Hispanola. We don't call it Haiti or Dominican Republic. In addition, the weather statement does because I didn't really feel like editing it that much.

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-track-02.gif

The Empire is revising its track update. Ernesto, now a tropical storm, is expected to continue up through Florida and possibly dissipate as a depression if it heads north. However, it could take an easterly track, hug the eastern coast of Layarteb, and possibly redevelop into a hurricane. Residents are warned to take extreme caution.

No deaths have been recorded yet but there are dozens injured on Hispanola and Cuba, where Ernesto hit with the brute of a weak Category I.

The tropical storm/hurricane had been noticed by the Realm, and a warning had gone out from the Foreign Ministry in Oslo to all Cottish citizens currently staying in the area to get to somewhere safe and to ride the bad weather out there. The few Cottish diplomatic stations in the area were prepared for recieving its citizens, as was a five-star hotel in Cuba which owned by a Cottish millionare who had made it available for the government. He could help his fellow Cots, and he could deduct the rent from the taxes next year!

Just in case things went bad, the Royal Cottish Air Force had prepared four of the sixteen C-11B Globemaster IIIs and four of the C-12J Hercules' it had in the Caribbean area of operations for humanitarian aid and citizen rescue. Prepared pallets with food, water, medicines and emergency shelters were ready in two of the three air bases in the Cottish holdings in the Caribbean, just in case. In addition, the Cottish government was ready to lease a few Boeing 737-800s to fly out its citizens in case that became necessary. The Realm would watch this hurricane closely.

000
WTNT35 KNHC 302032
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
500 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006

...ERNESTO PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA...

AT 5PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST OR ABOUT
25 MILES... 40 KM...WEST OF VERO BEACH FLORIDA AND ABOUT 55 MILES...
90 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ERNESTO HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
ON THURSDAY OVER THE ATLANTIC.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
COAST OF FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRACK OF
ERNESTO OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM
COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION
WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...27.6 N...80.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-track-03.gif

TD Ernesto is now moving northward. We're expecting it to redevelop into a Tropical Storm off Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina. When it passes over land again we expect it to degrade back into a tropical depression.

There has been 1 death reported now, in Hispanola, but no deaths in Cuba or Florida as of yet. Localized flooding and wind damage is minimal in Florida and we expect the damage to continue as it travels northward. Residents are still advised to seek shelter, especially against localized flash flooding and minor wind damage such as falling powerlines and branches.

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-01.jpg

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-02.jpg

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-03.jpg

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/ernesto-04.jpg

000
WTNT35 KWNH 012108
TCPAT5


PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 33 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL052006
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 01 2006

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRADUALLY LOSING TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS...MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC...

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MARYLAND AND EASTERN VIRGINIA. COASTAL FLOOD
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN VIRGINIA...THE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...AND SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MARYLAND. FLASH
FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...EASTERN WEST
VIRGINIA...MARYLAND...DELAWARE...NEW JERSEY...PENNSYLVANIA...AND
NEW YORK. HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY. WIND ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA...THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA...MARYLAND...DELAWARE...AND NEW JERSEY.

AT 5 PM EDT...21Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST OR 25
MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF RICHMOND VIRGINIA.

ERNESTO HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS
AND IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. A GENERAL NORTHWARD
MOTION AT THIS SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB OR 29.47 INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THRU 4 PM EDT

...FLORIDA...

ROCK ISLAND 6.74
IMMOKALEE 5.96
MOORE HAVEN 4.74
KISSIMMEE 4.28
LEHIGH ACRES 4.16
LAKE WALES 3.85
OCHOPEE 3.78

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

MT PLEASANT 6.65
MYRTLE BEACH 6.20
MCCLELLANVILLE 5.84
DANIEL ISLAND 4.50
SURFSIDE BEACH 4.05
CONWAY MARINA 4.00

...NORTH CAROLINA...

GRIFTON 9.85
CAPE FEAR RIVER 9.71
WILMINGTON 9.58
KINSTON 9.57
SNOW HILL 8.40
NEW RIVER NCAS 8.06
WALLACE 8.00
TRANTERS CREEK 7.57
LONGWOOD 7.23
GREENVILLE 7.13
RICHLANDS 7.06

...VIRGINIA...

WITTS ORCHARD 6.64
BACK BAY 6.43
ORISKANY 6.19
CONCORD 5.89
SNOW CREEK 5.68
GRAYSON HIGHLAND 4.72
COPPER HILL 4.36
ROCKY MOUNT 4.29
NORFOLK INTL ARPT 4.20

...WEST VIRGINIA...

ELLISON RIDGE 3.20
RIPLEY 2.50
SPENCER 2.48
RACINE 2.43
TORNADO 2.12

...MARYLAND...

CAROLINE 1.68
RIVERDALE 1.12

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTALS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...37.2 NORTH...77.1
WEST...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS AT 35 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. REFER TO
YOUR LOCAL FORECAST OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS
SYSTEM.

TRIMARCO

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 01/2100Z 37.2N 77.1W
12HR VT 02/0600Z 38.6N 77.0W
24HR VT 02/1800Z 40.5N 77.8W
36HR VT 03/0600Z 42.6N 78.4W
48HR VT 03/1800Z 44.7N 77.6W

$$


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2006/ERNESTO.shtml?

This is a final advisory that TD Ernesto has dissipated and is breaking up over North America as it heads northward.

September 3, 2006
Miami, Florida

000
WTNT21 KNHC 040228
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0300 UTC MON SEP 04 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 40.4W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 40.4W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 39.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.9N 42.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.0N 43.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.0N 45.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.9N 47.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.5N 51.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 45SE 25SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 21.5N 56.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 22.5N 61.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 40.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/florence-track-01.gif

Tropical Depression 6 has formed in the central Atlantic and is expected to make a westerly course and become a hurricane by late Thursday of this week. Its potential path could bring it over Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico or up the eastern coast of Layarteb. Meteorologists will be watching this system closely as it moves towards the Empire.

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/florence-track-02.gif

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/florence-track-03.gif

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/florence-track-04.gif

000
WTNT31 KNHC 101138
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FLORENCE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
800 AM AST SUN SEP 10 2006

...WEATHER CONDITIONS AT BERMUDA DETERIORATING SOON...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST OR ABOUT 305 MILES...
495 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. THE CENTER
OF FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO PASS VERY NEAR BERMUDA ON MONDAY
MORNING. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD REACH THE
ISLAND OF BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FLORENCE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE AS IT PASSES BERMUDA.

FLORENCE REMAINS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.

STORM SURGE VALUES OF 6 TO 8 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST
OF BERMUDA AS FLORENCE PASSES NEAR THE ISLAND.

FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8
INCHES OVER BERMUDA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS... INCLUDING STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ARE ALREADY AFFECTING BERMUDA...AS WELL AS THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...
HISPANIOLA AND THE BAHAMAS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT
AREAS OF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THIS MORNING. SEE
STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES FOR DETAILS ON
COASTAL CONDITIONS.

REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...28.0 N...65.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH


Hurricane Florence is immediately threatening Bermuda. Layartebian assets on that island have already prepared for the Category I hurricane, which is expected to strengthen over the next few hours before it hits between 02:00 Monday and 12:00 hours Monday. The island has not been evacuated but provisions are being sent, which will arrive after the storm has passed. Coast Guard vessels are patrolling throughout the North Atlantic, in case civilians become stranded by this hurricane.

000
WTNT21 KNHC 101445
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
1500 UTC SUN SEP 10 2006

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 65.9W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 75NE 30SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT.......225NE 120SE 90SW 225NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 225SE 175SW 475NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 65.9W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 65.8W

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.3N 66.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT...225NE 120SE 90SW 225NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 32.7N 65.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.
34 KT...250NE 150SE 90SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 35.4N 63.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 75NW.
34 KT...300NE 200SE 100SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 38.1N 61.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...300NE 300SE 150SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 44.5N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 240NW.
34 KT...360NE 480SE 420SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 48.0N 46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 48.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 65.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH

Wind speeds from Hurricane Florence have increased to 90 mph sustained, gusting far higher. She is expected to hit Bermuda within the next 13 hours. It is definite that Hurricane Florence will become a Category II hurricane by that time, smashing the island with winds in excess of 96 mph. Evacuation flights will be leaving for the next eight hours, at which time, the storm is expected to be too close to allow for safe evacuation. C-26A Condors and C-26B Condors are aiding in some of the evacuations as well as civilian airlines.

000
WTNT31 KNHC 102350
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FLORENCE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
800 PM AST SUN SEP 10 2006

...FLORENCE NEARING BERMUDA...THE WORST WEATHER IS YET TO COME...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.2 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES...
240 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON MONDAY. THE CENTER OF FLORENCE IS
EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR JUST WEST OF BERMUDA ON MONDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING
BERMUDA. A WIND GUST TO 58 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT AN
ELEVATED WEATHER STATION AT THE COMMISSIONER'S POINT ON BERMUDA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FLORENCE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND FLORENCE COULD INTENSIFY TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AS
IT PASSES BERMUDA.

FLORENCE REMAINS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

STORM SURGE VALUES OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COAST
OF BERMUDA AS FLORENCE PASSES NEAR THE ISLAND.

FLORENCE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 8
INCHES OVER BERMUDA...WITH POSSIBLE MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS... INCLUDING STRONG
RIP CURRENTS...ARE AFFECTING THE BAHAMAS AND PORTIONS OF THE EAST
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. SEE
STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES FOR DETAILS ON
COASTAL CONDITIONS.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...30.5 N...66.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB



Bermuda was already being attacked by the hurricane. They were only tropical storm force winds and surges but the rest of it was coming. The storm was still only a Category I but they were planning another report at 23:00 AST. Waves crashing against the beach were far higher than normal and everyone on the island were hunkered down, preparing for the storm.

000
WTNT21 KNHC 112030
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS REPLACED
THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 64.8W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......250NE 175SE 90SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 275SE 350SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 64.8W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N 65.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.2N 63.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...275NE 175SE 100SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 38.7N 61.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...275NE 175SE 100SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 42.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 150SW 275NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 45.2N 54.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...300NE 350SE 200SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 49.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 480SE 420SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 51.0N 25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 64.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/florence-track-05.gif

000
WTNT22 KNHC 112040
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 57.3W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 57.3W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 57.1W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.4N 58.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 23.7N 59.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 25.0N 60.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 26.5N 60.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 29.0N 60.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 31.5N 60.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 34.0N 59.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 57.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER COBB/PASCH

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/gordon-track-01.gif

Hurricane Florence has departed Bermuda, leaving in its wake some minor destruction. Trees and powerlines are the main victims to this hurricane as were any light based structures. Power is currently out throughout the island except for essential facilities and those with their own generators. Workers are working to restore power, no deaths but 7 injuries were reported. None are considered life threatening. Hurricane Florence will weaken as it travels north and hooks east in the colder North Atlantic. Coastal areas should be wary of minor flooding, strong rip currents, and large surf.

Tropical Storm Gordon has formed now and could potentially endanger Bermuda again. As it travels away from Puerto Rico, it could still cause strong rip currents and dangerous surf to Puerto Rico, Hispanola, and the Bahamas.

000
WTNT21 KNHC 122035
TCMAT1
HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC TUE SEP 12 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 59.3W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT.......180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT.......360NE 300SE 240SW 300NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 375SE 450SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 59.3W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 60.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 41.8N 56.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...360NE 300SE 240SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 45.0N 52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW.
50 KT...150NE 210SE 210SW 150NW.
34 KT...300NE 360SE 300SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 47.2N 46.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 180SE 180SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 360SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 48.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 180SE 180SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 360SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 49.5N 24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 420SE 360SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 59.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON FLORENCE. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH


http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/florence-track-06.gif

000
WTNT22 KNHC 130230
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0300 UTC WED SEP 13 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 57.9W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 50SE 30SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 57.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N 57.9W

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.6N 57.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.5N 57.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 30.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 33.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 35.0N 52.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 37.0N 49.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 57.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/gordon-track-02.gif

Hurricane Florence, still a Category I storm, has moved further out to sea and will not threaten land anymore. Tropical Storm Gordon, expected to form into a hurricane, will not threaten land either. All advisories for land are hereby being removed except for coastal surf and erosion advisories.

000
WTNT22 KNHC 140246
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 57.1W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 57.1W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 57.4W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 29.3N 56.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.0N 55.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 31.7N 54.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 32.5N 53.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 33.5N 52.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 37.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 41.0N 40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 57.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/gordon-track-03.gif

000
WTNT23 KNHC 140251
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2006

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 32.7W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 32.7W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 31.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.7N 35.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.7N 37.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 35NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.9N 39.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.4N 41.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.0N 43.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 75SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N 45.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 22.5N 49.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 32.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/LANDSEA


http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/helene-track-01.gif

Hurricane Gordon is heading out to sea and may threaten the Azores Island group in the mid-Atlantic. It will be followed closely. A new system, Tropical Storm Helene, has formed out in the far mid-Atlantic and is heading westward. This system could head towards the Caribbean or take the tracks that Florence and Gordon took and head towards Bermuda.

000
WTNT22 KNHC 161437
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 53.7W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 160SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 53.7W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 53.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.1N 53.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 33.6N 52.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.5N 50.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 37.6N 46.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 39.5N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 80SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N 53.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN


http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/gordon-track-04.gif

000
WTNT23 KNHC 161449
TCMAT3
HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 45.6W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
EYE DIAMETER 45 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 180SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 45.6W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 45.2W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.5N 46.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.4N 48.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.1N 49.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.9N 50.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.5N 53.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...200NE 175SE 125SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 25.5N 56.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 28.5N 58.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 45.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/LANDSEA


http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/helene-track-02.gif

Hurricane Gordon has made an easterly turn and will be heading out into the Atlantic Ocean rather than north into the mainland. However, there is still a threat to the Azores as this storm could potentially pass directly over the island group. Tropical Storm Helene has evolved into a Hurricane and it is still heading north, northwest. Its speed as increased to 14 mph and it looks as if it can hit Bermuda. Caution is emphasized.

000
WTNT22 KNHC 170231
TCMAT2
HURRICANE GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
0300 UTC SUN SEP 17 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 53.9W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 53.9W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 53.9W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 33.3N 53.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.3N 51.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 37.4N 47.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 38.9N 41.7W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N 27.5W...EXTRATROPICAL NEAR AZORES
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE 80SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...MERGED WITH FRONTAL SYSTEM

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 53.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Hurricane GORDON Public Advisory
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
WTNT32 KNHC 170317
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GORDON ADVISORY NUMBER 25...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 16 2006

CORRECTED HEADER

...GORDON BARELY A HURRICANE AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE
OPEN ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.9 WEST OR ABOUT 640 MILES...
1025 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

GORDON IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
GORDON IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...32.0 N...53.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/gordon-track-05.gif

000
WTNT23 KNHC 170236
TCMAT3
HURRICANE HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
0300 UTC SUN SEP 17 2006

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 47.5W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 180SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 47.5W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 47.1W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.2N 48.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.2N 49.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.1N 50.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.9N 52.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.1N 55.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 26.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 29.0N 58.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 47.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

Hurricane HELENE Public Advisory
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
WTNT33 KNHC 170240
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HELENE ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 16 2006

...HELENE GETTING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE OPEN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.5 WEST OR ABOUT 1025 MILES
...1645 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

HELENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR.
A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...19.5 N...47.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/helene-track-03.gif

The National Weather Service has updated the track for Hurricane Gordon. It is expected to impact the Azores island group as a tropical storm during the evening of Tuesday, September 19. Preparations are underway to secure the islands in case this storm does not weaken as predicted. Hurricane Helene is still a mystery to forecasters and it could still go out to sea, into Bermuda, or north into Dnalkrad or Layarteb.

000
WTNT32 KNHC 202022
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GORDON ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072006
500 PM AST WED SEP 20 2006

...GORDON FINALLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...THIS THE LAST ADVISORY..

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 16.6 WEST OR ABOUT 380
MILES...625 KM...WEST OF LISBON PORTUGAL.

GORDON IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 35 MPH...56 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GORDON IS EXPECTED TO BECOME ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...39.2 N...16.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 35 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEOFRANCE UNDER WMO HEADER
FQNT50 LFPW.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/gordon-track-06.gif

000
WTNT33 KNHC 202035
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HELENE ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
500 PM AST WED SEP 20 2006

...HELENE MAKING NORTHWARD TURN OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.1 WEST OR ABOUT 610 MILES...
980 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

HELENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...26.6 N...57.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/AVILA


http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/helene-track-04.gif

Gordon has been downgraded to a Tropical Storm after making minimal impact on the Azores. The storm, refusing to weaken, is heading northeast and looks to pass over the northwestern tip of Spain as a weak tropical storm or a depression. The storm is expected to dissipate over the cold European landmass and waters. Helene, on the other hand, peaked at 115 mph winds, making it a weak category 3 hurricane. It has since reduced to a strong category 2 hurricane with 105 mph windspeeds and it is expected to head out into the open North Atlantic, missing the Azores and Bermuda equally. The storm is not considered a threat to either island chain but is expected to produce strong tides, rip currents, and swells.

000
WTNT33 KNHC 212037
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HELENE ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
500 PM AST THU SEP 21 2006

...HELENE MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC....

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.8 WEST OR ABOUT 485 MILES...
780 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

HELENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR NORTHEAST...WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES...370 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.

ALTHOUGH HELENE WILL BE PASSING SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES TO THE
EAST OF BERMUDA TONIGHT...LARGE OCEAN SWELLS PRODUCING HAZARDOUS
SURF CONDITIONS COULD AFFECT THE AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...30.7 N...56.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA


http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/helene-track-05.gif

Helene has moved well east of Bermuda and is expected to travel through the cold North Atlantic towards Ireland and Iceland, where it is expected to dissipate in the much colder waters. Helene has done no damage to any islands or land of the Empire nor is it expected to though coastal warnings are still in effect for Azores and Bermuda bewaring of ride currents, strong tides, and minor erosion.

000
WTNT33 KNHC 231442
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HELENE ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082006
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 23 2006

...HELENE MAINTAINING HURRICANE STRENGTH OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HELENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1055 MILES
...1700 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES.

HELENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
HELENE GRADUALLY LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES...215 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345
MILES...555 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...37.7 N...46.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/helene-track-06.gif

Hurricane Helene, weakening, is moving northward, away from the Azores as it heads east. It does not appear to be any threat to the Azores whatsoever and looks to be eventually turning into a tropical storm, dissipating over Southern Ireland.

000
WTNT34 KNHC 302032
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092006
500 PM AST SAT SEP 30 2006

...ISAAC STRENGTHENS BUT IS NO IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LAND...

INTERESTS IN NOVA SCOTIA AND NEWFOUNDLAND CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISAAC WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.5 WEST OR ABOUT 315 MILES...
505 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

ISAAC IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ISAAC IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125
MILES...205 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...31.6 N...59.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART

http://www.theforsakenoutlaw.com/Graphics/Nation-States/Role-Playing/Nature%20Will%20Always%20Defeat%20Man/isaac-track-01.gif