NationStates Jolt Archive


Successorship of Kim Jong-il

Taboksol
09-03-2009, 20:53
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/7931783.stm

It's increasingly being kept under wraps by the KCNA apparently; but I already think that Kim Jong-un is the only logical succession. Unlike the others sons, they haven't fallen out of favor nor gone and done stupid things abroad. According to Yonghap news agency in the 15th February, I read that he (Kim Jong-un) was unofficially announced successor already (unfortunately this was on a YouTube comment and so I've no reliable source, nor claim this to be absolutely sacrosanct).

What say you?
Celtlund II
09-03-2009, 20:58
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/7931783.stm
What say you?

We could be looking at one or more of the generals taking over.
Alanea
09-03-2009, 20:59
I also think it's the most logical choice. If the earlier claims that his father's ill are true, then I would assume it's going to go that way and the Kims will last another few years. But at the rate they're going internationally, it's hard to say what Kim's neighbours and the USA are going to do about their rhetorical threats..
Taboksol
09-03-2009, 21:03
I also think it's the most logical choice. If the earlier claims that his father's ill are true, then I would assume it's going to go that way and the Kims will last another few years. But at the rate they're going internationally, it's hard to say what Kim's neighbours and the USA are going to do about their rhetorical threats..

China would seem more than gung-ho about maintaining the regime if only for fears of mass exodus of the North Korean population; which presents a problem economically.

I'm not entirely sure of everyone else though.
Taboksol
09-03-2009, 21:06
We could be looking at one or more of the generals taking over.

The majority of them are quite frankly dying, at a more severe and faster rate than Kim Jong-il. Their rule wouldn't be assured for that long. Also, few of them if any have prevalence in Korean revolutionary mythalore.
Risottia
09-03-2009, 21:09
What say you?

Me, of course. :D

Seriously, I think the generals are going to put a de facto stop to the Kim-Yung dinasty. Maybe they'll take a Kim-Yung as figurehead, but they have too much power to leave the country to someone else.
Alanea
09-03-2009, 21:29
If the generals did that they'd have to make a very swift and most likely dramatic move. I doubt it'd be up for negotiation.. They really need to realise what a state they're in and reconsider the Sunshine Policy for their country's sake. Does anyone know Obama's stance on this? I've only heard brief things from Clinton on the whole North Korea issue..