Tmutarakhan
25-11-2008, 03:22
Someone on the old Senate thread asked about the outstanding House races; today's results:
The Virginia secretary of the commonwealth will certify the results in House district VA-05 today. Currently, Democrat Tom Perriello is leading Rep. Virgil Goode (R-VA) by 745 votes. After certification, Goode will ask for a recount. However, with such a large gap, it is unlikely to save him. Perriello had some bad news and some good news last week. The bad news is that since he hasn't won yet, he wasn't allowed to take part in the office sweepstakes that the other freshmen entered. He had visions of being stuck in a broom closet somewhere in the House basement. The good news is that if he does win, an occupied office will become free--Goode's--and Perriello will get that one. Goode is a six-term congressman and has a much nicer office than any of the freshmen will get.
In CA-04, Tom McClintock (R) has declared victory over Charlie Brown (D) on the basis of his current lead of 1566 votes. This number gives McClintock a lead of 0.6%, which if it holds, will mean there is no recount and McClintock will win.
In OH-15, Mary Jo Kilroy (D) got some good news. Federal judge Algernon Marbley has ruled that 27,000 uncounted ballots in Franklin County must be counted. Since this county is Kilroy's home base (she is a county commissioner there), she may well pick up the 479 votes she needs to catch up to Steve Stivers (R), who is currently ahead. If Perriello and Kilroy win, the Democrats will have at least 257 seats in the House.
The other two undecided House races are in Louisiana and will be decided by runoffs in December.
On the Senate races, a new poll in Georgia shows Chambliss(R) leading Martin(D) by 52-46 (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Georgia_11241.pdf), while the silliness in Minnesota continues: a new batch of botched ballots (http://minnesota.publicradio.org/features/2008/11/19_challenged_ballots/) for you to play "you be the judge" with.
My predictions? Franken by 250, Chambliss by 4%
The Virginia secretary of the commonwealth will certify the results in House district VA-05 today. Currently, Democrat Tom Perriello is leading Rep. Virgil Goode (R-VA) by 745 votes. After certification, Goode will ask for a recount. However, with such a large gap, it is unlikely to save him. Perriello had some bad news and some good news last week. The bad news is that since he hasn't won yet, he wasn't allowed to take part in the office sweepstakes that the other freshmen entered. He had visions of being stuck in a broom closet somewhere in the House basement. The good news is that if he does win, an occupied office will become free--Goode's--and Perriello will get that one. Goode is a six-term congressman and has a much nicer office than any of the freshmen will get.
In CA-04, Tom McClintock (R) has declared victory over Charlie Brown (D) on the basis of his current lead of 1566 votes. This number gives McClintock a lead of 0.6%, which if it holds, will mean there is no recount and McClintock will win.
In OH-15, Mary Jo Kilroy (D) got some good news. Federal judge Algernon Marbley has ruled that 27,000 uncounted ballots in Franklin County must be counted. Since this county is Kilroy's home base (she is a county commissioner there), she may well pick up the 479 votes she needs to catch up to Steve Stivers (R), who is currently ahead. If Perriello and Kilroy win, the Democrats will have at least 257 seats in the House.
The other two undecided House races are in Louisiana and will be decided by runoffs in December.
On the Senate races, a new poll in Georgia shows Chambliss(R) leading Martin(D) by 52-46 (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Georgia_11241.pdf), while the silliness in Minnesota continues: a new batch of botched ballots (http://minnesota.publicradio.org/features/2008/11/19_challenged_ballots/) for you to play "you be the judge" with.
My predictions? Franken by 250, Chambliss by 4%