How can they project a winner with less than 20% of the vote?
Sel Appa
19-01-2008, 21:27
Apparently Romney is projected to win in Nevada caucuses with only 19.47% of precincts reporting. How can they possibly extrapolate that...
Romney -- 55.28%
McCain -- 12.23%
Paul -- 11.85%
Huckabee -- 7.95%
Thompson -- 7.63%
Giuliani -- 3.88%
Hunter -- 1.19%
The Democrats are too low to even bother posting with only 2.33% of the precincts reported...It was 3.33% a second ago wtf...
Go Obama! Go Paul!
Apparently Romney is projected to win in Nevada caucuses with only 19.47% of precincts reporting. How can they possibly extrapolate that...
The same way statistics are based on representative samples. The presumption that the same they have is fairly representative of the overall whole, and that large variations are not likely to cause a change hwen one candidate is already so far ahead.
The Cat-Tribe
19-01-2008, 21:56
Apparently Romney is projected to win in Nevada caucuses with only 19.47% of precincts reporting. How can they possibly extrapolate that...
CNN's methods (which are presumably similar to other projections) are explained at length here (http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/01/02/projection.explainer/index.html).
Ashmoria
19-01-2008, 23:33
i wish those freaking republicans would finish counting their votes!
as of right now RON PAUL is in second place by 20 votes!
at this house we consider ron paul to be the "miserable loser line". if you get fewer votes than he does, you are a miserable loser.
so that makes it romney #1 and everyone else the miserable loser.
Myrmidonisia
19-01-2008, 23:36
i wish those freaking republicans would finish counting their votes!
as of right now RON PAUL is in second place by 20 votes!
at this house we consider ron paul to be the "miserable loser line". if you get fewer votes than he does, you are a miserable loser.
so that makes it romney #1 and everyone else the miserable loser.
Ah yes, the Mendoza (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mendoza_Line) line of politics.
Sel Appa
20-01-2008, 00:49
yay Ron Paul!
CoallitionOfTheWilling
20-01-2008, 00:58
And yet Paul continues to score low in each state.
13% is not going to win the election, sorry guys.
Sel Appa
20-01-2008, 05:00
And yet Paul continues to score low in each state.
13% is not going to win the election, sorry guys.
He's doing better than others. You never know. He could make it. He's not doing too bad that he's completely out. He has a god-huge warchest and is strongly committed.