NationStates Jolt Archive


Warmongering that?

Sel Appa
08-01-2008, 03:06
(I hope my attempt at British lingo is correct...)

Why do I have the feeling we're pushing our "power" a bit too far by poking Iran's borders to provoke an attack that would legitimize our own attack?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080107/ap_on_go_ca_st_pe/us_navy_iran

WASHINGTON - An Iranian fleet of high-speed boats charged at and threatened to blow up a three-ship U.S. Navy convoy passing near Iranian waters, then vanished as the American ship commanders were preparing to open fire, the top U.S. Navy commander in the area said Monday.

No shots were fired an an Iranian official in Tehran said the incident amounted to "something normal."

Bush administration officials complained that the Iranian actions amounted to a dangerous provocation, but one private analyst said the Iranians may have believed they were acting defensively in a narrow waterway that is heavily trafficked by commercial ships, including oil vessels.

The incident raised new tensions between Washington and Tehran as President Bush prepared to depart Tuesday on his first major trip to the Middle East.

The three U.S. warships — cruiser USS Port Royal, destroyer USS Hopper and frigate USS Ingraham — were headed into the Persian Gulf through the Straits of Hormuz on what the U.S. Navy called a routine passage inside international waters when they were approached by five small high-speed vessels believed to be from Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy.

The Iranians "maneuvered aggressively" in the direction of the U.S. ships, said Vice Adm. Kevin Cosgriff, the commander of U.S. 5th Fleet, which patrols the Gulf and is based at nearby Bahrain. The U.S. ship commanders took a series of steps toward firing on the boats, which approached to within 500 yards, but the Iranians suddenly fled back toward their shore, Cosgriff said.

Cosgriff was not precise about the U.S. ships' location but indicated they were about three miles outside Iran's territorial waters, which extend 12 miles from its shores, headed in a westerly direction after having passed the narrowest point in the straits.

At one point the U.S. ships received a threatening radio call from the Iranians, "to the effect that they were closing (on) our ships and that the ships would explode — the U.S. ships would explode," Cosgriff said.

"Subsequently, two of these boats were observed dropping objects in the water, generally in the path of the final ship in the formation, the USS Ingraham," he added. "These objects were white, box-like objects that floated. And, obviously, the ship passed by them safely."

The boxes were not retrieved, so U.S. officials do not know whether they posed an actual threat. Cosgriff the U.S. ship commanders were moving through a standard series of actions — including radio calls to the Iranians that went unheeded — but did not reach the point of firing warning shots.

"We take this deadly seriously," Cosgriff told a Pentagon news conference via video link from Bahrain.

He recalled the October 2000 terrorist attack on a U.S. warship, the USS Cole, in Yemen's Aden harbor by a small boat laden with explosives; 17 sailors died in that attack, which nearly sank the Cole.

Defense Secretary Robert Gates, speaking aboard the USS New Orleans pierside in San Diego, told reporters on Monday "it would be nice to see the Iranian government disavow this action and say that it won't happen again."

Gates said there had been two or three similar incidents — "maybe not quite as dramatic" — over the past year. He offered no details, but one Navy official said there have been several similar incidents that involved "aggressive maneuvering" by small boats in the Gulf. In one instance, a U.S. Navy vessel fired warning shots across the bow of the small boat, said the official, who requested anonymity because details of the earlier encounters have not been made public.

The official said that while at least one of the small boats in the Sunday confrontation was flying an Iranian flag, that was not the case in the earlier incidents. Thus, while there is suspicion that they may have been Iranian boats, it is not certain.

The latest incident began Sunday about 8 a.m. local time and lasted about 30 minutes, Cosgriff said. It was followed on Monday by an unusual but apparently unrelated incident in which two U.S. Navy F/A-18 fighter jets were destroyed in an aerial collision over the northern Gulf. The three aviators involved were plucked safely from Gulf waters and returned to their ship, the USS Harry Truman.

In Tehran, Iran's Foreign Ministry suggested the Iranian boats had not recognized the U.S. vessels. Spokesman Mohammed Ali Hosseini played down the incident, saying it was "similar to past ones."

"That is something normal that takes place every now and then for each party, and it (the problem) is settled after identification of the two parties," he told the state news agency IRNA.

In his remarks to Pentagon reporters, Cosgriff said U.S. Navy ships routinely have contact with Iranian naval vessels and that usually the correct procedures are followed without confrontation. In fact he said the three-ship Navy convoy involved in Sunday's incident had earlier exchanged normal communications with some Iran shore stations and with a passing Iranian Navy ship.

Joseph Cirincione, director of nuclear policy at the Center for American Progress, said in a telephone interview that in the absence of hard information about Iranian intentions, it is possible that they viewed the presence of the American ships as a potential threat and were warning them away.

On the other hand, it may have been a deliberate Iranian provocation, Cirincione said.

At the State Department, spokesman Sean McCormack said the United States would "confront" hostile Iranian actions against U.S. interests and those of its allies in the region and called on Iran to halt "any provocative actions."

"We are going to confront Iran's behavior where it threatens us, where it threatens our allies, where it threatens the integrity of the international systems that have been set up to facilitate international commerce and finance," McCormack told reporters.

Historical tensions between the United States and Iran have grown in recent years over Washington's charge that Tehran has been secretly seeking to develop nuclear weapons and supplying and training Iraqi insurgents using roadside bombs — the No. 1 killer of U.S. troops in Iraq.

At about this time last year, Bush announced he was sending a second aircraft carrier to the Gulf region in a show of force against Iran. The U.S. Navy quietly scaled back to one carrier group several months later. But while the two were there, they staged two major exercises off Iran's coast.
Imperio Mexicano
08-01-2008, 03:07
As I asked some friends on MSN earlier today: I justified in fearing another Gulf of Tonkin incident?
Eureka Australis
08-01-2008, 03:10
This is actually remarkable similar to the situation that led up to the naval engagements during the Iraq-Iran war. It would all go to hell if Iran mines the gulf again.

Also, I wouldn't underestimate Iran's speedboat fleet, the ones used by special forces.
Fall of Empire
08-01-2008, 03:55
I don't think it's Bush so much as it was Iran trying to prove a point (that they can provoke Americans without fearing reprocussions). Don't get me wrong, I wouldn't put it beyond Bush to start a war as he's leaving office for the sake of political maneuverings. However, I think this time it was Iran.
Eureka Australis
08-01-2008, 04:03
I don't think it's Bush so much as it was Iran trying to prove a point (that they can provoke Americans without fearing reprocussions). Don't get me wrong, I wouldn't put it beyond Bush to start a war as he's leaving office for the sake of political maneuverings. However, I think this time it was Iran.
How do you figure that? He would probably either split the GOP or throw it into turmoil if he did that, and either way it would kill their reelection chances for the Presidency for many years.
Vetalia
08-01-2008, 04:10
How do you figure that? He would probably either split the GOP or throw it into turmoil if he did that, and either way it would kill their reelection chances for the Presidency for many years.

For once, EA, I'd have to agree with you on this one.

(although I do think you'd be able to hold one hell of a discussion on the legacy of Stalinism in the USSR...even if I vehemently disagree, I find your arguments interesting).
Bann-ed
08-01-2008, 04:53
Already posted by LG.
Here: http://forums.jolt.co.uk/showthread.php?t=547019
Sel Appa
08-01-2008, 05:18
Already posted by LG.
Here: http://forums.jolt.co.uk/showthread.php?t=547019

And he even has a better title :(
Thumbless Pete Crabbe
08-01-2008, 05:30
(I hope my attempt at British lingo is correct...)

Ugh. Why? Not that the British aren't adorable, but the slang is silly.

This is actually remarkable similar to the situation that led up to the naval engagements during the Iraq-Iran war. It would all go to hell if Iran mines the gulf again.

Mines? Hah! Haven't you seen the new fleet of war-dolphins? Pretty cool. :cool:
Marrakech II
08-01-2008, 06:31
As I asked some friends on MSN earlier today: I justified in fearing another Gulf of Tonkin incident?

This is more like a Gulf of Sidra situation.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_of_Sidra_incident_(1981)
St Edmund
08-01-2008, 11:51
Basic geography. If you're moving ships in and out of the Gulf, as the US government has to do if it wants to position them very near to Iraq, then going close to Iranian territorial waters is unavoidable.
Call to power
08-01-2008, 12:25
they should of taken the speed boat crews hostage and claimed they were in American waters :p
Java-Minang
08-01-2008, 12:26
If the United states (of America of course! Not Indonesia) do something terrible, I and my friends shall closed the Malaka Strait! (But, in the gulf it self the traffic should be jammed first...)

Well if we had the manpower and the weapon...
Eureka Australis
08-01-2008, 12:35
Basic geography. If you're moving ships in and out of the Gulf, as the US government has to do if it wants to position them very near to Iraq, then going close to Iranian territorial waters is unavoidable.
There's a difference between doing that and deliberately provoking a response from Iran. During the Iran-Iraq war, Iran targeted Kuwait oil tankers because they were transporting Iraqi oil and thus funding it's war effort. In response to this the US 're-badged' the Kuwaiti tank fleet as US vessels, renaming them and all, and that was used as an excuse to run massive escorts on them through the gulf. Iran didn't buy this and said they were still helping Iraq, so it mined the gulf and kept attacking them, resulting in the mining of a US vessel and engagements. Because oil supply is so vital to any US presence or operations in the region, similar incidents are bound to happen in the gulf if the US keeps us intimidating Iran.
Telesha
08-01-2008, 14:39
The more I read about this the more I start thinking that Iran is acting like that child at the zoo, the one that keeps teasing the lion. The lion can't get him, it's in a cage, so he keeps prodding. First the British sailors, now this, I wonder what the next stunt will be.
JuNii
08-01-2008, 18:09
(I hope my attempt at British lingo is correct...)

Why do I have the feeling we're pushing our "power" a bit too far by poking Iran's borders to provoke an attack that would legitimize our own attack?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080107/ap_on_go_ca_st_pe/us_navy_iran

An Iranian fleet of high-speed boats charged at and threatened to blow up a three-ship U.S. Navy convoy passing near Iranian waters, then vanished as the American ship commanders were preparing to open fire, the top U.S. Navy commander in the area said Monday.
how is passing near their waters poking their borders?

In Tehran, Iran's Foreign Ministry suggested the Iranian boats had not recognized the U.S. vessels. Spokesman Mohammed Ali Hosseini played down the incident, saying it was "similar to past ones."
so instead of requesting/demanding identification, they charge the vessels and threaten to blow them up?

oh and...

In his remarks to Pentagon reporters, Cosgriff said U.S. Navy ships routinely have contact with Iranian naval vessels and that usually the correct procedures are followed without confrontation. In fact he said the three-ship Navy convoy involved in Sunday's incident had earlier exchanged normal communications with some Iran shore stations and with a passing Iranian Navy ship.
so the convoy did ID themselves to the Iranian navy as well as shore stations. So much for "they didn't reconize the U.S. Vessels...

I would accept it as saber rattlling. showing force and not loosing face. After all, they did keep their distance and they did break it off before it got out of hand. The fact that there were past incidents kinda backs up the saber rattling theory.
Telesha
08-01-2008, 18:11
how is passing near their waters poking their borders?


Especially in the Strait of Hormuz area. It's barely 40 miles wide. Or was this in the gulf proper?
Mad hatters in jeans
08-01-2008, 18:39
Is that near one of the vital oil supply routes the UK and US use?
Would that be why they both are a bit worried about the middle eatern powers?
Sel Appa
08-01-2008, 23:38
Ugh. Why? Not that the British aren't adorable, but the slang is silly.

Yes it is, but it sounded like something to try.

The more I read about this the more I start thinking that Iran is acting like that child at the zoo, the one that keeps teasing the lion. The lion can't get him, it's in a cage, so he keeps prodding. First the British sailors, now this, I wonder what the next stunt will be.

I think you have it mixed up. The child is the US and the lion is Iran.
Telesha
08-01-2008, 23:42
I think you have it mixed up. The child is the US and the lion is Iran.

Depends on your perception on exactly who is provoking who. Though I see your point.
Steely Glintt
08-01-2008, 23:47
The more I read about this the more I start thinking that Iran is acting like that child at the zoo, the one that keeps teasing the lion. The lion can't get him, it's in a cage, so he keeps prodding. First the British sailors, now this, I wonder what the next stunt will be.

http://forums.jolt.co.uk/showthread.php?t=546191&highlight=poor+tiger

*nods in LGesque style*