Ilaer
30-04-2007, 19:01
A short article-type passage which I wrote exploring such a concept. As far as I know the little science which I refer to is presented correctly; bear in mind, though, that I wrote this several years ago and now have vastly improved knowledge of physics.
Apologies for any formatting errors; I copied this from my blog, not having enough energy to open the original OpenOffice.org document, so it may still have the formatting from there.
An exploration of the concept of ‘Generation ships’ and their feasibility, uses, potential and effect upon mankind
By Daniel Rhodes-Mumby
Perhaps so-called ‘Generation ships’ will someday become reality. I myself have no doubt, if only because they are, in many particulars, quite possible now.
For those who have not heard of the term, a ‘Generation ship’ is the name given to a (typically extremely large) spacecraft of any sort on which there is placed a large population of a specific creature, along with everything that the creature needs to survive for a long period of time. They are envisaged as the most technologically, if not financially, feasible methods of colonising new worlds. If the population is large enough for both a replacement rate of breeding and to offer enough choices of mate that aren’t incestuous then these craft, provided that they have a renewable source of air, water, food and other gewgaws necessary to survival, can potentially last for thousands of years, enough time to travel to some of the nearer solar systems and find a colonisable planet. The original travellers are long since dead, but their descendents can still colonise worlds. Virtually the only thing that can halt such a project once it is started is the craft or one of the vital components within being damaged severely enough to endanger the population on board; there is also the possibility of falling population levels or a significant level of incest destroying the creatures on the craft, thus rendering the ships pointless. The latter two can be quite easily prevented; the first is largely down to luck.
Generation ships can, therefore, become mankind’s path to interstellar colonisation. Imagine them as smaller, completely mobile Earths, capable both of sustaining anything alive on it and transporting those inside to a specific destination.
Of course, Generation ships thus prove to be remarkably like a planet in sustaining the population aboard.
This leads to a new concept: artificial ‘planets’. Admittedly they’re a lot less hardwearing than the Earth or Jupiter, but they can reliably sustain a populace with the ability to fix them should anything routine go wrong. Now follow the thought of an artificial planet like this to its logical conclusion: instead of spending millions of pounds on fuel and so on to enable the Generation ship to actually move to another solar system, just give them a supply large enough to maybe move out of the way of asteroids and similar things. A huge saving that also eradicates the need to find natural, human colonisable planets, which are thought to be relatively rare.
Eventually, the Solar System may have hundreds of Generation ships just sitting there motionless, each acting as a tiny planet. Humanity finds a way to solve all of its population and survival problems in one stroke, just like that.
Of course, there is always the building of Generation ships in the first place. This could turn out to be a long, difficult project for the first but others, easier, faster, cheaper to create, would be built soon after. The only limitation here is finding the resources to undertake such a colossal project, which is where the original purpose of the ships comes in: build a few with the necessary supplies of fuel and send them to find resource rich worlds; once such planets are found, harvesting from them would be a relatively easy
process.
Gradually the number of ships would increase, slowly at first, but speeding up as technology improves and more mineral rich planets are utilised. Humanity would have established the beginnings of a space empire.
It is at this point that things turn dangerous. Perhaps we make contact with other civilizations at this point, or perhaps we established contact a few centuries before, but eventually humanity might decide that it likes the idea of having a space empire, and so it develops powerful weapons, perhaps even designing and creating a new type of Generation ship specifically to transport and feed armies. Weapons would be relatively simple with the advances already made and eventually our destructive potential outweighs anything else nearby. At this point we begin a bloody conquest of our alien neighbours’ civilizations.
Of course, such a scenario depends on both the existence of alien civilizations and the ability of mankind to overcome its natural survival instinct, greed. For the first, the likelihood of humanity being alone in the galaxy, never mind the universe, is so miniscule that it can almost certainly be discounted; the technological level and closeness of any other lifeforms remains, of course, unknown. As for the latter: humanity has been responsible for more deaths than virtually any asteroid in history, all in the name of progress; and we don’t exactly have a great track record when it comes to controlling ourselves when we get a new toy to play with. First it was steam power: imagine the effect the Industrial Revolution had on the environment. Then we came across oil and the concept of burning it and making things out of it; then it was nuclear power: think of the sheer destructive power inherent in strong radiation and, by extension, nuclear weapon fallout and you’ll soon see why the initial explosion is perhaps akin to the frying pan in the classical proverb; the explosion is probably preferential to the ‘fire’, the radiation afterwards.
If alien civilizations exist close enough then you can be sure that one day there will be a war; the casualties likely being some hundreds, possibly thousands, of times greater than World War I, World War II and a hypothetical World War III combined.
The victor in such a war? Who knows? Humanity is certainly very resourceful, but superior technology will play a great part, depending on which side possesses it.
But I digress.
The point is that Generation ships will be at once the result of an event that will act as a catalyst (the development of cold fusion, perhaps, enabling the ships to be very easily powered) and will themselves be the catalyst for further expansion. From the Earth as original home to the Moon as forward base to real planets as gigantic mines to artificial constructs as worlds to live on. The next chain in the sequence may be something even more wondrous: perhaps, with resources and manpower being no object, the first steps toward FTL travel and manipulation of gravity (including the creation of antigravity
and, perhaps more useful in some ways, artificial gravity [current theories for the creation of artificial gravity generally assume that a way to work neutronium will be discovered, but will this be necessary as other, more pliant suitable elements are discovered? (perhaps as the cold remnants of the cores of dead neutron stars?)]) will be made, and humanity will eventually end up being able to travel the massive distances involved in space without resorting to concepts like Generation ships; the advantages of FTL travel are immense, including the (to outside eyes) extension of life granted to those who approach and even surpass light speed1 .
The entire concept of Generation ships can thus be explored to give some fairly amazing results. What is more interesting, though, is that work on a Generation ship could be started now with a reasonable chance of success. Plants could be taken aboard to recycle the CO2 produced by humans back into breathable oxygen. The oxygen, combined with hydrogen (the most common element in the universe) could be used to create drinkable water, which could in turn be used to water the plants. The plants could be various types of food crop, thus solving the problem of food, and there are many byproducts of human activities that could potentially nourish such crops. Metals of all types are present in large quantities to build the actual craft, which could be any shape imaginable if it were to be built in space or even on the Moon (on Earth there are two possibilities: either the craft is launched directly into space from the surface, thus requiring a standard space shuttle shape or it could be taken into orbit in the hold of a large space shuttle, requiring no actual launch under its own propulsion whatsoever) as friction and drag are not a problem once in space.
Communications could be done using radio or laser pulses in certain codes, perhaps even an adapted version of Morse Code. The only difficulty of any importance is fuel; perhaps nuclear fission, or solar cells, could provide the energy required (solar cells being particularly good in space where there is not an atmosphere to block the Sun’s light). Indeed, there are many satellites utilizing solar power with far greater efficiency than on Earth.
Getting an initial population might prove to be difficult; the idea of dying before the journey’s end would quite quickly discourage those desiring to see new worlds, while very few people would desire the danger posed to such a craft by space debris; small particles of asteroid dust and so on or even a full-blown asteroid itself, if the course is calculated wrongly. The prospect of helping humanity to reach for the stars, as it were, might encourage a bold minority to step forward, but otherwise there is very little incentive for a sane person to go until there is a reasonable prospect of the journey lasting a much shorter time; although the sights, of course, would be stunning.
Assuming that an initial population large enough to prevent inbreeding and population decline could be found, though, we could, as has been said, start building Generation ships now. Indeed, the benefits to such a project are tangible and enormous, thus leaving the question: why isn’t more research being concentrated on the topic, and why hasn’t work on a suitable craft been started already?
The most obvious reason is, of course and as per usual, money. Research is expensive, especially if the work done is of a practical nature, as it would be by necessity for Generation ships. The actual building of a Generation ship would, similarly, be enormously expensive for the government involved. The lack of Generation ships could also be attributed to the essentially short-term thinking done by the leaders of the nations most able to build a Generation ship; most of these nations are democracies where the public are permanently demanding better healthcare, better education, a better police force and so on. The government of such a nation can only ultimately be interested in staying in power and being reelected; under such circumstances long-term views are a disadvantage; they get in the way of pleasing the populace.
Generation ships are an essentially long-term concept. No immediate benefit would arise from building one, except perhaps an increase to national reputation in diplomatic circles, but even this would be minor. On the other hand, the short-term disadvantages to starting such a project are, though relatively few, quite profound. As with space elevators (which as of yet are infeasible due to the properties required of any material used in it, unlike Generation ships, although we are getting close to the ideal materials for a space elevator with the gradual refining of carbon nanotube technology) the initial cost would be amazingly expensive (although with both concepts the initial cost is really all that matters; in the long-term you actually get far more back than you put in; maintenance is simple and, thus, inexpensive) and any government spending such an amount of money would either be ridiculed by its own press for spending so much on something which (to them) has no discernible advantages, compared to spending the money on something useful such as, oh, education or the healthcare services.
Which is not to say that there’s something wrong in valuing a good health service or education above a Generation ship; indeed, quite the opposite. It is just that the long-term advantages to building a Generation ship are immense and, perhaps, a small portion of the national budget each year could be thrown into the building of one. Admittedly it would probably get scrapped by the next different government to come into power, but it might not…
The future of the Generation ship concept is uncertain. Though it is extremely likely, it cannot be said for certain that even one will ever be built. If it is built though, then it will indubitably be the defining moment of that era; it is difficult to imagine anything which could even come close to the amazing effect a successful Generation ship could have on humanity. It would certainly increase the likelihood of survival for the human race; if the Earth is hit by an asteroid then the colony planets would survive and could soon reclaim Earth. Generation ships offer us a way of exploring the furthest reaches of the Galaxy and, eventually, the Universe itself, without resorting to the traditionally impractical science fiction technologies (such as ‘warping’ by any means up to and including the joining of two wormholes to travel through, a task that would not only require a stupendous amount of energy but also faces major technical difficulties [the sheer danger being one]) or possible but impractical technologies that we already have.
1 ‘Outside’ being the operative word; according to Einstein’s Special Theory of Relativity, time is experienced differently depending on an object’s speed; as you approach light speed time slows down immensely for you but not others who aren’t travelling at near-light speed (so that fifty years for everyone else could pass in a matter of seconds to yourself). In this way a person can travel at light speed and come back being younger than those who were younger than he when he left (in other words, a sixteen year old
father could come back to a son who is, say, a year older than himself).
So.... That was it. If you understood it, then well done. If you didn't then I suggest that you visit Wikipedia and get yourself some knowledge.
Just wondering what you think. Good? Bad? Too long? Too short? Doesn't touch the right subjects? Science is horrifically wrong (I certainly hope not! Physics is one of my specialities.)?
Apologies for any formatting errors; I copied this from my blog, not having enough energy to open the original OpenOffice.org document, so it may still have the formatting from there.
An exploration of the concept of ‘Generation ships’ and their feasibility, uses, potential and effect upon mankind
By Daniel Rhodes-Mumby
Perhaps so-called ‘Generation ships’ will someday become reality. I myself have no doubt, if only because they are, in many particulars, quite possible now.
For those who have not heard of the term, a ‘Generation ship’ is the name given to a (typically extremely large) spacecraft of any sort on which there is placed a large population of a specific creature, along with everything that the creature needs to survive for a long period of time. They are envisaged as the most technologically, if not financially, feasible methods of colonising new worlds. If the population is large enough for both a replacement rate of breeding and to offer enough choices of mate that aren’t incestuous then these craft, provided that they have a renewable source of air, water, food and other gewgaws necessary to survival, can potentially last for thousands of years, enough time to travel to some of the nearer solar systems and find a colonisable planet. The original travellers are long since dead, but their descendents can still colonise worlds. Virtually the only thing that can halt such a project once it is started is the craft or one of the vital components within being damaged severely enough to endanger the population on board; there is also the possibility of falling population levels or a significant level of incest destroying the creatures on the craft, thus rendering the ships pointless. The latter two can be quite easily prevented; the first is largely down to luck.
Generation ships can, therefore, become mankind’s path to interstellar colonisation. Imagine them as smaller, completely mobile Earths, capable both of sustaining anything alive on it and transporting those inside to a specific destination.
Of course, Generation ships thus prove to be remarkably like a planet in sustaining the population aboard.
This leads to a new concept: artificial ‘planets’. Admittedly they’re a lot less hardwearing than the Earth or Jupiter, but they can reliably sustain a populace with the ability to fix them should anything routine go wrong. Now follow the thought of an artificial planet like this to its logical conclusion: instead of spending millions of pounds on fuel and so on to enable the Generation ship to actually move to another solar system, just give them a supply large enough to maybe move out of the way of asteroids and similar things. A huge saving that also eradicates the need to find natural, human colonisable planets, which are thought to be relatively rare.
Eventually, the Solar System may have hundreds of Generation ships just sitting there motionless, each acting as a tiny planet. Humanity finds a way to solve all of its population and survival problems in one stroke, just like that.
Of course, there is always the building of Generation ships in the first place. This could turn out to be a long, difficult project for the first but others, easier, faster, cheaper to create, would be built soon after. The only limitation here is finding the resources to undertake such a colossal project, which is where the original purpose of the ships comes in: build a few with the necessary supplies of fuel and send them to find resource rich worlds; once such planets are found, harvesting from them would be a relatively easy
process.
Gradually the number of ships would increase, slowly at first, but speeding up as technology improves and more mineral rich planets are utilised. Humanity would have established the beginnings of a space empire.
It is at this point that things turn dangerous. Perhaps we make contact with other civilizations at this point, or perhaps we established contact a few centuries before, but eventually humanity might decide that it likes the idea of having a space empire, and so it develops powerful weapons, perhaps even designing and creating a new type of Generation ship specifically to transport and feed armies. Weapons would be relatively simple with the advances already made and eventually our destructive potential outweighs anything else nearby. At this point we begin a bloody conquest of our alien neighbours’ civilizations.
Of course, such a scenario depends on both the existence of alien civilizations and the ability of mankind to overcome its natural survival instinct, greed. For the first, the likelihood of humanity being alone in the galaxy, never mind the universe, is so miniscule that it can almost certainly be discounted; the technological level and closeness of any other lifeforms remains, of course, unknown. As for the latter: humanity has been responsible for more deaths than virtually any asteroid in history, all in the name of progress; and we don’t exactly have a great track record when it comes to controlling ourselves when we get a new toy to play with. First it was steam power: imagine the effect the Industrial Revolution had on the environment. Then we came across oil and the concept of burning it and making things out of it; then it was nuclear power: think of the sheer destructive power inherent in strong radiation and, by extension, nuclear weapon fallout and you’ll soon see why the initial explosion is perhaps akin to the frying pan in the classical proverb; the explosion is probably preferential to the ‘fire’, the radiation afterwards.
If alien civilizations exist close enough then you can be sure that one day there will be a war; the casualties likely being some hundreds, possibly thousands, of times greater than World War I, World War II and a hypothetical World War III combined.
The victor in such a war? Who knows? Humanity is certainly very resourceful, but superior technology will play a great part, depending on which side possesses it.
But I digress.
The point is that Generation ships will be at once the result of an event that will act as a catalyst (the development of cold fusion, perhaps, enabling the ships to be very easily powered) and will themselves be the catalyst for further expansion. From the Earth as original home to the Moon as forward base to real planets as gigantic mines to artificial constructs as worlds to live on. The next chain in the sequence may be something even more wondrous: perhaps, with resources and manpower being no object, the first steps toward FTL travel and manipulation of gravity (including the creation of antigravity
and, perhaps more useful in some ways, artificial gravity [current theories for the creation of artificial gravity generally assume that a way to work neutronium will be discovered, but will this be necessary as other, more pliant suitable elements are discovered? (perhaps as the cold remnants of the cores of dead neutron stars?)]) will be made, and humanity will eventually end up being able to travel the massive distances involved in space without resorting to concepts like Generation ships; the advantages of FTL travel are immense, including the (to outside eyes) extension of life granted to those who approach and even surpass light speed1 .
The entire concept of Generation ships can thus be explored to give some fairly amazing results. What is more interesting, though, is that work on a Generation ship could be started now with a reasonable chance of success. Plants could be taken aboard to recycle the CO2 produced by humans back into breathable oxygen. The oxygen, combined with hydrogen (the most common element in the universe) could be used to create drinkable water, which could in turn be used to water the plants. The plants could be various types of food crop, thus solving the problem of food, and there are many byproducts of human activities that could potentially nourish such crops. Metals of all types are present in large quantities to build the actual craft, which could be any shape imaginable if it were to be built in space or even on the Moon (on Earth there are two possibilities: either the craft is launched directly into space from the surface, thus requiring a standard space shuttle shape or it could be taken into orbit in the hold of a large space shuttle, requiring no actual launch under its own propulsion whatsoever) as friction and drag are not a problem once in space.
Communications could be done using radio or laser pulses in certain codes, perhaps even an adapted version of Morse Code. The only difficulty of any importance is fuel; perhaps nuclear fission, or solar cells, could provide the energy required (solar cells being particularly good in space where there is not an atmosphere to block the Sun’s light). Indeed, there are many satellites utilizing solar power with far greater efficiency than on Earth.
Getting an initial population might prove to be difficult; the idea of dying before the journey’s end would quite quickly discourage those desiring to see new worlds, while very few people would desire the danger posed to such a craft by space debris; small particles of asteroid dust and so on or even a full-blown asteroid itself, if the course is calculated wrongly. The prospect of helping humanity to reach for the stars, as it were, might encourage a bold minority to step forward, but otherwise there is very little incentive for a sane person to go until there is a reasonable prospect of the journey lasting a much shorter time; although the sights, of course, would be stunning.
Assuming that an initial population large enough to prevent inbreeding and population decline could be found, though, we could, as has been said, start building Generation ships now. Indeed, the benefits to such a project are tangible and enormous, thus leaving the question: why isn’t more research being concentrated on the topic, and why hasn’t work on a suitable craft been started already?
The most obvious reason is, of course and as per usual, money. Research is expensive, especially if the work done is of a practical nature, as it would be by necessity for Generation ships. The actual building of a Generation ship would, similarly, be enormously expensive for the government involved. The lack of Generation ships could also be attributed to the essentially short-term thinking done by the leaders of the nations most able to build a Generation ship; most of these nations are democracies where the public are permanently demanding better healthcare, better education, a better police force and so on. The government of such a nation can only ultimately be interested in staying in power and being reelected; under such circumstances long-term views are a disadvantage; they get in the way of pleasing the populace.
Generation ships are an essentially long-term concept. No immediate benefit would arise from building one, except perhaps an increase to national reputation in diplomatic circles, but even this would be minor. On the other hand, the short-term disadvantages to starting such a project are, though relatively few, quite profound. As with space elevators (which as of yet are infeasible due to the properties required of any material used in it, unlike Generation ships, although we are getting close to the ideal materials for a space elevator with the gradual refining of carbon nanotube technology) the initial cost would be amazingly expensive (although with both concepts the initial cost is really all that matters; in the long-term you actually get far more back than you put in; maintenance is simple and, thus, inexpensive) and any government spending such an amount of money would either be ridiculed by its own press for spending so much on something which (to them) has no discernible advantages, compared to spending the money on something useful such as, oh, education or the healthcare services.
Which is not to say that there’s something wrong in valuing a good health service or education above a Generation ship; indeed, quite the opposite. It is just that the long-term advantages to building a Generation ship are immense and, perhaps, a small portion of the national budget each year could be thrown into the building of one. Admittedly it would probably get scrapped by the next different government to come into power, but it might not…
The future of the Generation ship concept is uncertain. Though it is extremely likely, it cannot be said for certain that even one will ever be built. If it is built though, then it will indubitably be the defining moment of that era; it is difficult to imagine anything which could even come close to the amazing effect a successful Generation ship could have on humanity. It would certainly increase the likelihood of survival for the human race; if the Earth is hit by an asteroid then the colony planets would survive and could soon reclaim Earth. Generation ships offer us a way of exploring the furthest reaches of the Galaxy and, eventually, the Universe itself, without resorting to the traditionally impractical science fiction technologies (such as ‘warping’ by any means up to and including the joining of two wormholes to travel through, a task that would not only require a stupendous amount of energy but also faces major technical difficulties [the sheer danger being one]) or possible but impractical technologies that we already have.
1 ‘Outside’ being the operative word; according to Einstein’s Special Theory of Relativity, time is experienced differently depending on an object’s speed; as you approach light speed time slows down immensely for you but not others who aren’t travelling at near-light speed (so that fifty years for everyone else could pass in a matter of seconds to yourself). In this way a person can travel at light speed and come back being younger than those who were younger than he when he left (in other words, a sixteen year old
father could come back to a son who is, say, a year older than himself).
So.... That was it. If you understood it, then well done. If you didn't then I suggest that you visit Wikipedia and get yourself some knowledge.
Just wondering what you think. Good? Bad? Too long? Too short? Doesn't touch the right subjects? Science is horrifically wrong (I certainly hope not! Physics is one of my specialities.)?