NationStates Jolt Archive


Maybe He Would Have Better Luck Playing Poker

Eve Online
08-12-2006, 17:51
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/H/HURRICANE_PREDICTIONS?SITE=FLMYR&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2006-12-08-10-22-29

Well, he was very wrong this year. All things considered, I think a monkey pulling random numbers out of a hat does a better job.

Makes me wonder what his computer models are based on. Obviously, they're wrong.

FORT COLLINS, Colo. (AP) -- The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season should have above-average activity, a top hurricane researcher said Friday.

Colorado State forecaster William Gray predicted 14 named storms next year, including three major hurricanes and four other hurricanes.

Gray and fellow researcher Philip Klotzbach said fewer hurricanes are likely to make landfall compared to last year, which had the busiest and most destructive hurricane season on record.

It had 28 named storms, including 15 hurricanes, four of which hit the U.S. The worst of those was Katrina, which leveled parts of the Gulf Coast.

This year's season had nine named storms and five hurricanes, two of them major. That was considered a "near normal" season but fell short of predictions by Gray and government scientists.

Fell short! Don't make me laugh...
[NS]Trilby63
08-12-2006, 18:38
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/H/HURRICANE_PREDICTIONS?SITE=FLMYR&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2006-12-08-10-22-29

Well, he was very wrong this year. All things considered, I think a monkey pulling random numbers out of a hat does a better job.

Makes me wonder what his computer models are based on. Obviously, they're wrong.



Fell short! Don't make me laugh...

They're weather men. They're supposed to be wrong.

Besides, they're models over-compensate for butterflies..
Myrmidonisia
08-12-2006, 19:36
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/H/HURRICANE_PREDICTIONS?SITE=FLMYR&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2006-12-08-10-22-29

Well, he was very wrong this year. All things considered, I think a monkey pulling random numbers out of a hat does a better job.

Makes me wonder what his computer models are based on. Obviously, they're wrong.



Fell short! Don't make me laugh...

They haven't properly factored global warming into the models, yet. [/sarcasm]
Wilgrove
08-12-2006, 19:41
Wern't Global Warming crowds also saying that Global Warming causes bigger stronger hurricanes?
Eve Online
08-12-2006, 19:49
Wern't Global Warming crowds also saying that Global Warming causes bigger stronger hurricanes?

That explains the 2006 hurricane season...
The Lone Alliance
08-12-2006, 21:12
Well maybe the Alantic was quiet but have you seen the Pacific Season?