Al-Kazahn
30-04-2005, 02:31
I managed to make some spare time so that I can write a brief rant on the Iran-U.S. situation. For these ideas to work one must first assume that Iran has already developed nuclear weapons and possess the technological ability to use them. Many people would then believe that the weapons would be used to deliver a devastating blow to one of its enemies, Israel. This would leave them vulnerable to numerous attacks from other Mid-East nations such as Syria and Jordan to name only few. Be that as it may would also strike a blow at the nations that would supposedly move toward Israel. The radiation coming from the nuclear weapon would span far past Israel's boarders and into Palestinian territory and move on to the Mediterrean, Syria, Lebanon, and quite possibly Saudi Arabia. It would a tremendous error on Iran's part if such an action were executed. It would also cause a violent backlash in the region and worsen the situation. So that scenario will not occur.
Others claim that the weapons may be used to target the United States. Again this will not happen. There be even more backlash which would turn many of its allies away. Embargos would be put in place that would devastate the economy. The Iranians would not be able to continue this hypothetical war without funding. No doubt heavy sanctions would be enacted. Yet another group fears that this would lead to an invasion of Iran, which is very doubtful indeed. Quite impossible. The U.S. military is spread too thin as it is and even if soldiers were restationed there would probably not be a sufficient amount to maintain an occupation for who knows how long. Iran could not continue a war in full form and would rely largely on guerilla warfare.
To continue to another scenario, fighting in Iraq between the Americans and the Iranians. For this next scenario assume that the Iranians want to move into Iraq and weaken the U.S. military. this would require them to either launch missles into Iraq or move ground forces in. Considering past conflicts between the two, this would make each side fighting two fronts. The Iraqis would view this as another threat to sovereignty and attack the Iranians while still fighting the U.S. The U.S. would then be fighting Iran as well as the insurgents and Iran would be fighting the U.S. and Iraq. That would weaken all sides and cause enormous casualties and economic costs, something none of the powers could afford. It would be difficult for Israel to contribute because of their location and tensions. It would cause backlash against them and weaken defenses by sending them to Iraq or Iran. So that would be unwise.
Others claim that the weapons may be used to target the United States. Again this will not happen. There be even more backlash which would turn many of its allies away. Embargos would be put in place that would devastate the economy. The Iranians would not be able to continue this hypothetical war without funding. No doubt heavy sanctions would be enacted. Yet another group fears that this would lead to an invasion of Iran, which is very doubtful indeed. Quite impossible. The U.S. military is spread too thin as it is and even if soldiers were restationed there would probably not be a sufficient amount to maintain an occupation for who knows how long. Iran could not continue a war in full form and would rely largely on guerilla warfare.
To continue to another scenario, fighting in Iraq between the Americans and the Iranians. For this next scenario assume that the Iranians want to move into Iraq and weaken the U.S. military. this would require them to either launch missles into Iraq or move ground forces in. Considering past conflicts between the two, this would make each side fighting two fronts. The Iraqis would view this as another threat to sovereignty and attack the Iranians while still fighting the U.S. The U.S. would then be fighting Iran as well as the insurgents and Iran would be fighting the U.S. and Iraq. That would weaken all sides and cause enormous casualties and economic costs, something none of the powers could afford. It would be difficult for Israel to contribute because of their location and tensions. It would cause backlash against them and weaken defenses by sending them to Iraq or Iran. So that would be unwise.