Where will the Orange Revolution Strike Next?
New Anthrus
07-02-2005, 04:00
In this latest wave of democracy, two revolutions are occuring simultaneously: the revolution in Islamic states (whatever that should be called), and the Orange Revolution in the former Soviet bloc (which gets less attention). It first hit Georgia as the Rose Revolution, but was most famously displayed in Ukraine. It happened in Romania as well, but not as violently. So what nation is next?
I added Russia to my poll, btw, because it is not out of the realm of possibility. I read an economist in TIME magazine, and he has predicted the year's surprises for twenty years. One of the surprises he forsaw was an uprising against Putin, forcing him to resign.
Holy Sheep
07-02-2005, 05:45
Albania sounds like Alabama,
And
Georgia sounds like Georgia.
weird.
Niccolo Medici
07-02-2005, 12:04
Putin, who's seen as widely popular with the people in Russia, will be forced to resign? How the heck would that work? The man has an iron grip on all public airwaves, and no private ones worthy of the name exist. He's more suceptible to a coup than a revolution; given his past history.
Helioterra
07-02-2005, 12:34
It happened in Romania as well, but not as violently.
Not as violently? Over thousand people died in one month. Exleader and his family were executed. Shaakasvili and Yanukovych are very much alive.
Helioterra
07-02-2005, 12:57
Putin may not be as popular during the next elections. Who knows what will happen if he doesn't win (or noboby believes in his victory).
I believe people in Belarus are ready for a "revolution" if the next presidential election is as manipulated as previous.
New Anthrus
08-02-2005, 00:47
Putin, who's seen as widely popular with the people in Russia, will be forced to resign? How the heck would that work? The man has an iron grip on all public airwaves, and no private ones worthy of the name exist. He's more suceptible to a coup than a revolution; given his past history.
Ask that guy they interviewed in TIME magazine. But really, he may be loosing lots of popularity, now that he has gotten the largest voting bloc (senior citizens) very angry.
New Anthrus
08-02-2005, 00:53
I think Moldova is next. It is wedged in between Ukraine and Romania, described as a red streak in a sea of orange. Moldova has also moved closer to Romania. It probably won't merge with it, but it probably means that Moldova may become more Europe oriented, and not so much Russia oriented.
The biggest problem is the area east of the Dniester. Russian troops are stationed there to protect a secessionist area.
New Foxxinnia
08-02-2005, 01:03
Georgia sounds like Georgia.
No shit. Really?
Kryozerkia
08-02-2005, 01:04
No shit. Really?
I was thinking the exact same thing...
New Anthrus
08-02-2005, 22:12
bump
Lacadaemon
08-02-2005, 22:52
Canada hopefully.
Europaland
08-02-2005, 23:02
I don't think it is likely that there will be a similar revolution in Belarus as President Lukaschenko is still extremely popular among many people and his economic policies which have maintained public ownership over much of the economy have benefitted most people and have prevented a similar economic collapse to that which occurred in Russia and Ukraine due to failed free market policies. There is an article from the BBC which discusses the possibility of a revolution in Belarus at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/4192381.stm
The revolution in Islamic states? You mean where the US is invading Iraq?
Neo Cannen
08-02-2005, 23:17
the revolution in Islamic states (whatever that should be called)
The green revolution? Dark green being the staple coulor of so many Islamic flags.
Evil Arch Conservative
08-02-2005, 23:31
I can see it happening in Turkmenistan, but only if I really use my imagination and trust the reports I've seen from the country. That place seems like the edge of the planet to me. I can't imagine living there. The place certainly needs it more then any other country you listed. When a political leader renames the months of the year in his honor, something is wrong.
New Anthrus
09-02-2005, 22:49
I don't think it is likely that there will be a similar revolution in Belarus as President Lukaschenko is still extremely popular among many people and his economic policies which have maintained public ownership over much of the economy have benefitted most people and have prevented a similar economic collapse to that which occurred in Russia and Ukraine due to failed free market policies. There is an article from the BBC which discusses the possibility of a revolution in Belarus at: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/4192381.stm
You're confusing the economic and political actions of the two. It was neither one that failed Russia and the Ukraine, but rather, the transformation from a communist toltalitarian society to a market democracy. The Soviet Union collapsed too quickly to create an orderly transistion. Hopefully, Ukraine is able to start over again, although I bet you want Ukraine to return to its old state.
New Anthrus
09-02-2005, 22:51
The green revolution? Dark green being the staple coulor of so many Islamic flags.
That'd work. But I actually thought of the purple revolution, as the purple finger became a symbol of the Iraqi vote.
You Forgot Poland
09-02-2005, 22:53
Hey, could we make this a pool? you know, cause I did pretty good with the office Super Bowl pool. You could all pick a location and send me like ten bucks and I could like send the winner their winnings if they like, uh, win.
New Anthrus
09-02-2005, 22:54
Now, why are so many people bent on Kazakstan? The regime is worse than a toltalitarian one: it is a toltalitarian state that got wealthy from its natural resources. That's why liberal institutions are only beggining to form in the Middle East, and I'm not certain if Kazakstan can break the trend.
New Anthrus
11-02-2005, 22:04
bump