NationStates Jolt Archive


Update on the Science Fair project

Colodia
04-12-2004, 22:24
If you read a thread of mine a few weeks ago, I said I'll be doing my Science project on voters education and how they voted on Nov 2nd, Democrat or Republican?

After going through thousands of numbers of the 2000 Census and finding out which states voted which way with wikipedia, and averaging the numbers, here is my HYPOTHESES:

Voters over 25 years of age with a High School being their highest form of education generally voted Republican George W. Bush for presidency, while voters with a college degree (associate, bachelors, graduate, or professional) generally voted Democrat John F. Kerry for presidency.

Of course, that's the formal version. My personal version:

Dumbasses who passed 12th grade by doing extra credit at the last moment decided to vote Bush because they thought it was the cool thing to do. Those who actually went and finished college voted Kerry because it was the smart thing to do.


My actual data is too big to fit here, but here is the basic info:

Red States: 32
Blue States (plus D.C.): 19

Avg. Red State College IQ above 25 yrs : 28.5% / 876,700
Avg. Red State HS IQ above 25 yrs.: 27.4% / 1,535,889
Avg. Blue State College IQ above 25 yrs: 34.1% / 1,397,603
Avg. Blue State HS IQ above 25 yrs: 35.1% / 1,201,984

Red/Blue College Difference: 5.6% (Blue victory) / 520,903 (Blue victory)
Red/Blue HS Difference: 7.7% (Blue victory) / 333,905 (Red victory)



Total Red State College: 28,054,414
Total Red State HS: 29,181,884
Total Blue State College: 26,554,464
Total Blue State HS: 22,837,700


It was copied and pasted from Microsoft Word, with the Blue and Red victory stuff added. So if it's unclear, ask me.

Any questions or comments are appreciated. Any help would definatly be appreciated. Any opinions are extremely welcome, Republican and Democrat alike.



(BTW, please remember I'm only 14. I've done more work already than most kids will do throughout their entire project.)
Superpower07
04-12-2004, 22:26
What about the small %s of the population that voted 3rd-party?
Colodia
04-12-2004, 22:32
What about the small %s of the population that voted 3rd-party?
A bigger question would be what about the small % of people that voted Republican in states like California and New York?

I projected that, and found it to be pointless. Considering that the electoral voting system only cares for the bigger number.
Superpower07
04-12-2004, 22:42
A bigger question would be what about the small % of people that voted Republican in states like California and New York?
My bet is that those people are high-middle/upper class; those states (like Nevada) seem to be quite rich AND liberal, but it's all about the $$$ to some people.
Colodia
04-12-2004, 22:47
My bet is that those people are high-middle/upper class; those states (like Nevada) seem to be quite rich AND liberal, but it's all about the $$$ to some people.
True, true. But my project will be amazinly biased as-is without the survery proving the numbers.