NationStates Jolt Archive


Don't shoot the messenger!

Niccolo Medici
08-11-2004, 23:44
The letter I hold in my hand is directed to all members of the NS community, and indeed, of the entire political world, who feel anger at the re-election of George W. Bush.

The letter is brief.

"Don't shoot the messenger."

The explanation is a bit longer. Get comfy.

Like many people on November 2nd, I was quite anxious, nervous even. I had spend the recent months here at NS, reading the various posts about the election, watching endless news programs, feeling the butterflies in my stomach grow bigger and bigger as the time came near. I wanted it over and done with, but the days dragged by with endless debates. As everyone knew, so much hung in the balance on that fateful day, I couldn't just dismiss it as someone else's problem.

I overreacted a bit in the end it seems. At around 7pm on November second I collapsed on my bed, coughing up blood. I spent the next day half-delirious with high fever; I had aggravated an ulcer in my body from sheer anxiety. When I recovered a few days later I went online and saw something that deeply disturbed me.

I saw so many of my friends, so many associates, and so many NS posters decrying the Bush victory. That was nothing unexpected. But most, if not all, blamed the very US citizens they hoped to cultivate for themselves on Election Day. Endless speeches about how dumb people are, how foolish, questions about IQ levels and sanity.

Don't shoot the messenger!

All of you who opposed his re-election, the Democratic challenger, perhaps the entire world thinks they just lost the 2004 US election due to voter stupidity. But you did not lose because of the voters; they merely sent you the message. Now, rather than stamping your feet in frustration and talking about how dumb the American people are, take a good long look at your mistakes and stop making them!

Did John Kerry run a flawless campaign?
Did some leading personalities in the Democratic camp alienate voters?
Did the issues get framed in a way beneficial to the Democrats?
Did the Republican attack machine get neutralized?
Was John Kerry's Running mate an asset?
Did the Democratic party have a clear, united vision to place before the US?

The answers to many of these questions will depress you. And they should. In the face of a widely hated president and having a highly energized democratic base, this should have been a cakewalk. Why wasn't it?

Leadership. Not just John Kerry's, the entire Democratic party's leadership was confused, disjointed, and de-centralized. There was no cohesion, no clear grand strategy, and far too many competing interests.

The famous quote, "I'm not a member of an organized political party. That's right, I'm a democrat." Still rings true. It should not, and must not remain that way if you wish to stand a chance against the far more effective centralized structure that the Republican party now employs.

For all the energy and vigor behind the anti-Bush movement, it was unfocused and thus, unproductive. Bush bashing is merely a form of fighting, debates are merely the battles of the political world. Skirmish with the trolls all you want on the NS forums, but the real fight doesn't take place here. Believe it or not the large majority of Republicans warned you about that in advance; how many posters told you that "Just because Bush is bad gives us no reason to vote for Kerry" or similar things to that effect?

Seeing how military records played such a big part of the election, I'll use this quote; "The good general wins first and then fights, the poor general fights, then tries to win." Guess what? The Democrats haven't been good generals...They needed to come up with a cohesive vision and gameplan before doing anything else. Instead they relied on the fighting spirit of the many citizens who were fed up with Bush, then placed Kerry at the head. He didn't direct the troops, he didn't choose his battles; instead he sat at the head of a huge army of anti-Bush groups and absorbed fire from the political Right.

This post would be even more massive if I went point by point down the list and demonstrated just how this happened, and how the Democrats screwed up, when and where the Republicans got it right, pointed out your mistakes, or missed opportunities themselves. I will rely instead on your collective memories to recall the campaign, from the inception of the anti-Bush groups, to the first anti-Kerry attack ads, through to the Debates and on till Election Day.

The point is the history of the campaign is a painful lesson for democrats. OR, AT LEAST IT SHOULD BE. If you continue to blame the American voter for giving you the finger on Nov 2, expect that same digit to be upraised in four years. A good general doesn't blame the troops for the general's mistakes; the democrats can't blame the American people for their own.

You have 4 years to get it right. 2 if you count the mid-term elections. You don't suffer from a lack of good potential leaders; you don't suffer from a lack of good ideas. The Democratic Party has rising stars throughout the nation; good solid chances remain open to you. Allow me to break it down for you.

1) Hillary Clinton
2) Barack Obama
3) Unknown "electable" statesman

These are your three real choices for the next presidential election. You can pick Hilary Clinton, an in-party elite with strong ties to the Clintonian legacy. Barack Obama, with his rising star status and high charisma, and the traditional route; some unknown statesman who while respected, isn't particularly well liked, kinda seen as "electable", if only for the fact that there isn't anything outstandingly bad about them.

You can see where I'm going with this. There are many potentially good presidents in the democratic party, but you're not gonna win with 99% of them. Especially considering what you (potentially) might face in 2008...

1) Colin Powell
2) John McCain
3) Jeb Bush

Now, I know it’s doubtful in the extreme that Powell will run for president period, let alone after the Bush presidency left him on the outs with his own party. But he's overcome that opposition before and he would be a dangerous candidate.

John McCain lost to George Bush before he was wildly popular on both sides of the isle, before his name was synonymous with integrity. It took some of the nastiest push-polls in campaign history to put down McCain before he was popular; try running against him now.

Jeb Bush is an outside chance in 2008; if I know the grand strategy of the Republicans at all, they'd shy away from looking like Dynasts any more than they do now. They'll keep him in reserve for 4 to 8 years after George W leaves office. He still might run though, depending on how popular his Brother is in 2007.

Of course, any number of other candidates might come out in the future. But with any those three potential contenders to deal with, perhaps you'll see the gravity of the situation. The Democratic Party is in trouble, they are in desperate need of internal reform and blaming the American people won't help.

Don't shoot the messenger. Listen to what the American people have to say. Find your goals, find your message, and centralize power enough to coordinate your actions on a national level. You need to do more than mobilize, you need to organize.

Oh, and by the way; I am not a Democrat. I am not a Republican. I am an American.

I despise the notion that the governance of political parties is becoming more important than the government of the nation. But if helping the Democrats realize their mistakes helps America get better government, I'll do it. I have remonstrated with both sides, as those who have seen me post here know.
Peregrini
08-11-2004, 23:55
Excellent response. It's nice to see someone on this site take an honest and critical look at the campaign (without some of the spleen I occasionally wield). Sensibility may yet rule the day...
Terra - Domina
09-11-2004, 00:05
you are right

as far as a politician goes, kerry is not a very good one, and the democrats haven't done a very good job of putting a campaign against bush in either election

the unfortunate problem is that in America there were enough people who hated bush enough to just vote for the other guy that the Democratic party could have run a pineapple and made the results end reletivly the same.

I'd also be willing to bet that the majority of "Americans are stupid" comes from outside of America, where the entire election this year was played out like some glorified reality TV show.

For the rest of the world, this entire process seemed a farce due to just how plainly ignorant the neo-conservative ideology is. However the American people are in a state of near panic. I dont feel like elaborating this point right now, but it is a lot like the symptoms of Stockholm Syndrome. The people are comming to agree with those "holding them" because they view it as the option that will keep them the safest.

lol, back on topic anyways.... since there is no real liberal choice in america, they will normally associate themselves with kerry. However, the majority of americans arent liberal, so the democrats have to adjust strategy. Why was kerry always seen in a church or holding a gun?

This however alieniates the social liberals (those just a bit left of centre) who either go to nader, become apathetic toward the system, or still join kerry as "the lesser of two evils".

I dont want to get bogged down in stats or anything, but the majority of bush supporters are single issue supporters, namly guns and the bible. many are even unsure as to where bush stands on other major issues like kyoto or the ICC. So if kerry wants to win he needs to convert the gun and jesus nuts, but to do that the democrats need to move further right and they begin to loose their base. The democrats have the problem of trying to appeal to everone from socialists to progresive conservatives, whlile the neo-cons have their god followers.
Terra - Domina
09-11-2004, 00:08
I despise the notion that the governance of political parties is becoming more important than the government of the nation.

i didnt read your last paragraph my first time through so i did not notice this, but i like!
Spoffin
09-11-2004, 00:53
Really though, it takes a LOT to beat a sitting president out of their second term. Clinton had it. Kerry didn't, and still he came so bloody close its unbelievable. Its like the guy on the running track with appalling form who gets in 8/10ths of a second behind the winner. Kerry didn't run the best campaign in the world, and he still got within a fingertip of the White House. Seven months ago, there were people who'd given up on ANY Democrat in 2004. I still won't have a word said against the guy.
Tremalkier
09-11-2004, 02:34
Two words: Moral Issues.
MKULTRA
09-11-2004, 02:39
Two words: Moral Issues.
two more words: B.S.
MKULTRA
09-11-2004, 02:41
the problem is the voting machines and the fact that red state liars domonate the media
DeaconDave
09-11-2004, 02:51
The democrats could win tommorow.

Give up on gun control as a national issue. When everyone was ignoring the sunsetting of the "assualt weapon" ban I thought: "Hmm Kerry sure is being intelligent by not talking about it."

Then of course people had to bring it up to criticize Bush for not trying to force a renewal through congress, and I thought: "This only has to help Bush."

So my advice to democrats is, in the future pay more attention to the advice of Bill Clinton, who has told you drop it, and less to Michael Moore and Rosie O'Donell, who despite their advocacy don't really know shit about politics.
Irrational Numbers
09-11-2004, 02:52
Thats why I don't call Republicans dumb or the President-Elect dumb. I personally think all blame can be poured legitemately on the democratic cadidate and DNC. I have some mean things to say about them, partly out of frustration. But I think most can agree that the Democrats' organization pales pitifully in comparison to the Republicans'. We passed on so much rhetoric that we could have learned straight from the republicans. "Traitor, unpatriotic, immoral." "Freedom is the backbone of this society, not heterosexual marraige laws!" "Democrats, supporting the traditional values and causes that true patriotic Americans care about." "George Bush is ruining the lives of millions of people by sending our soldiers to die! He kills not only the soldiers, but severely burdens the familys of those soldiers at home. These are millions of people that have to deal with the emotional, financial, and moral damage that George Bush has done to them."
Irrational Numbers
09-11-2004, 02:54
Really though, it takes a LOT to beat a sitting president out of their second term. Clinton had it. Kerry didn't, and still he came so bloody close its unbelievable. Its like the guy on the running track with appalling form who gets in 8/10ths of a second behind the winner. Kerry didn't run the best campaign in the world, and he still got within a fingertip of the White House. Seven months ago, there were people who'd given up on ANY Democrat in 2004. I still won't have a word said against the guy.

What you say is true. Interestingly enough. Kerry won a larger percentage of the popular vote than Bill Clinton won for his first term.
Niccolo Medici
09-11-2004, 10:45
Give up on gun control as a national issue. When everyone was ignoring the sunsetting of the "assualt weapon" ban I thought: "Hmm Kerry sure is being intelligent by not talking about it."


Oh, I doubt that somehow. The interesting thing about politics, and the thing that the Democrats need to learn the most urgently, is that policy doesn't matter. It quite simply doesn't.

Issues are not the issue. It sounds pithy but its true. Its packaging, its the marketing, its the idea of it. If you can sell inferior products with flashy ads and good looking box art; you can package a man of questionable morals as a paragon of virtue. You can sell the idea that allowing assault weapons on the streets is safer than storing them in childproof lockers. You can sell the idea that quotas for affirmative action are effective and not harmful.

In short; pick an issue, take a stance, and sell it well. Repeat as needed.

What I'm saying, and willing to prove, is that with proper management, either of the two political parties are capable of selling sickness as a cure! It matters little to either side it seems if they are right; they have agendas and they need to sell them to the public. Right now the democrats are as K-Marts stores compared to a Wal-mart!
Angry Keep Left Signs
09-11-2004, 10:47
Why not?
DeaconDave
09-11-2004, 11:00
Oh, I doubt that somehow. The interesting thing about politics, and the thing that the Democrats need to learn the most urgently, is that policy doesn't matter. It quite simply doesn't.

Issues are not the issue. It sounds pithy but its true. Its packaging, its the marketing, its the idea of it. If you can sell inferior products with flashy ads and good looking box art; you can package a man of questionable morals as a paragon of virtue. You can sell the idea that allowing assault weapons on the streets is safer than storing them in childproof lockers. You can sell the idea that quotas for affirmative action are effective and not harmful.

In short; pick an issue, take a stance, and sell it well. Repeat as needed.

What I'm saying, and willing to prove, is that with proper management, either of the two political parties are capable of selling sickness as a cure! It matters little to either side it seems if they are right; they have agendas and they need to sell them to the public. Right now the democrats are as K-Marts stores compared to a Wal-mart!


That's true for a lot of issues when it is just party v. party. Unfortunatley on this one you have the NRA which delivers millions of votes. That's the swing segment of the population right there.

In any event, why do people in New York casr whether or not people in West Virginia have guns. If the WVA folks are happy it should be left alone.
Niccolo Medici
09-11-2004, 11:31
That's true for a lot of issues when it is just party v. party. Unfortunatley on this one you have the NRA which delivers millions of votes. That's the swing segment of the population right there.

In any event, why do people in New York casr whether or not people in West Virginia have guns. If the WVA folks are happy it should be left alone.

Well, you bring up several points, none of which I particularly care to dispute. I'm pretty much wholly for gun rights in America on a national level, but I really can't stand the gun lobby. They seem to think that safety is bad, that common sense is the enemy.

However, just because the Dems "switch" their stance is not likely to lead to anything resembling a massive shift in voter appeal. I can't be certain, but the number of "single issue" voters in the NRA is likely not overly large. But perhaps the Democrats can make inroads to this group as well. A little outreach goes a long way.