Chodolo
24-09-2004, 10:28
With all the latest polls and predictions, the electoral votes for Bush and Kerry just may end up tied at 269.
One of the best and most invaluable sites: http://www.electoral-vote.com/
All Kerry has to do is take Florida and hold Pennsylvania (which SHOULD have been easy...), and with Colorado's likely passage of electoral splitting (him most likely getting 4 of the 9), he'll have 269 as well as Bush.
In this instance, the House would convene and certainly elect Bush, although the Senate (very possibly up for grabs by the Democrats) might just elect Edwards as Vice Prez.
Something else interesting, one of the West Virginia electors has said he might not vote for Bush, even though WV will clearly vote Republican.
Once again, the flapping member of America seems set to choose the president. Kerry has held a very slim margin there for awhile now...but all within the margin of error.
As well, it's becoming obvious now that the Zogby polls skews Democrat, while the Gallup and Strategic Vision favor Bush.
They must all be taken with a grain of salt.
But a tie seems to be in order, if Bush holds his battleground states (Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada, New Hampshire, Arkansas, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Ohio).
This election is totally up in the air at the moment, regardless of the national polls which would have you believe Bush is beating Kerry 55% to 40%. As well, national numbers don't count, it's electoral votes. I would find it very ironic if Kerry loses the popular vote but takes the electoral vote.
One of the best and most invaluable sites: http://www.electoral-vote.com/
All Kerry has to do is take Florida and hold Pennsylvania (which SHOULD have been easy...), and with Colorado's likely passage of electoral splitting (him most likely getting 4 of the 9), he'll have 269 as well as Bush.
In this instance, the House would convene and certainly elect Bush, although the Senate (very possibly up for grabs by the Democrats) might just elect Edwards as Vice Prez.
Something else interesting, one of the West Virginia electors has said he might not vote for Bush, even though WV will clearly vote Republican.
Once again, the flapping member of America seems set to choose the president. Kerry has held a very slim margin there for awhile now...but all within the margin of error.
As well, it's becoming obvious now that the Zogby polls skews Democrat, while the Gallup and Strategic Vision favor Bush.
They must all be taken with a grain of salt.
But a tie seems to be in order, if Bush holds his battleground states (Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada, New Hampshire, Arkansas, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Ohio).
This election is totally up in the air at the moment, regardless of the national polls which would have you believe Bush is beating Kerry 55% to 40%. As well, national numbers don't count, it's electoral votes. I would find it very ironic if Kerry loses the popular vote but takes the electoral vote.