Well, the first set of post-convention polls are out and we get:
Bush Kerry
American Research Group 47 48
The Economist 44 45
Leger 51 47
Newsweek 52 41
Rasmussen 49 45
Time 52 41
Zogby 46 44
Well then, the polls range from a negative bounce to a massive +10 bounce. Who to believe, who to believe.
Purly Euclid
05-09-2004, 19:08
I think it's fair to say that this race is still dead even. The only poll that'll clear anything up is the one that'll be taken on Nov. 2.
Cannot think of a name
05-09-2004, 19:08
Time and Newsweek are using the same poll.....here's my question-
What's been up with polls recently? Polls predicted that Gore would loose the popular vote and win the electoral, the opposite happened. The polls predicted that Dean would take New Hampshire, Kerry did and nothing saw that. There are some other examples that bother me, but you get the idea. Has polling gotten lazy? Has sampling gotten sloppy? More often than not the sampling and method of reading results are not included in the poll, are poorer result readings being used to create a result that will be a headline? Often I see the percentage that the sampling group is faulty (off all together) as being the plus/minus numbers. What's been going on? Is this all in my head?
Second rant: PRESIDENTIAL RACES AREN'T BASEBALL GAMES!!!!!!!!! That carries a lot of implications that should be obvious, from stat reading to team loyalty.