Pilon
09-03-2007, 07:56
OOC: Since Allanea has requested that we separate the whole "storefront" matter, or more specifically the matter of settling his debt with Phoenix Corporation, I thought I would oblige him and make a separate thread.
for reference purposes, the earlier matters mention took place in this thread:
http://forums.jolt.co.uk/showthread.php?t=519025
now, to address a couple comments made by Allanea in that thread.
1. No Allanean dollar exists. As such, it is not humanly possible for you to create 'downward' pressure on a currency that has not been used in any of those transactions.
2. It is not possible for Pilon to posess 250 trillion Menelmacari Credits worth of Allanean stuff. Simply becuase this would be greater then the total value of the Allanean economy (the Menelmacari credit is about 2 Universal standard dollars). The entire Allanean GDP is, according to NStracker, $350 trillion dollars. Thus it's not possible for Pilon to posess $500 trillion of Allanean assets. Further, Pilon explicitly stated before that he posessed 250 trillion USD worth of Allanean currency.
At no time had any Allanean private currency been transferred to Pilon (since Pilon stated explicitly he does not accept it), but rather a variety of national currencies (whatever currencies I received payment in from the different purchasers, like Roania and USSNA).
Roania in particular has repeatedly stated that he does not use any Allanean currency to make his payments, here or elsewhere. As to this point, the Allanean government had received 130 trillion USD from different nations' businesses, in the currencies of these nations. Under no exchange system known to the counters does this constitute $36 trillion credits. 130 trillion is what has been transferred to Pilon.
OOC: I decided the storefront stuff makes this thread look stupid. Pilon, assume all money so far earned from sale of Allanean stuff has been transferred to you, that is, $126 trillion. I will likely deal with the rest of the stuff later when I am not busy being invaded by the necrons.
1. No Allanean dollar exists. As such, it is not humanly possible for you to create 'downward' pressure on a currency that has not been used in any of those transactions.
There are multiple Allanean Currencies in use, while Siri may have mentioned the Dollar for ease of writing, any Allanean Currency would be affected by this pressure.
This probably needs a more in depth explanation so here is an attempt to explain what is going on here.
First off, exchange rate are determined by the demand for a specific currency in correlation to the demand for another type of currency.
Demand for a currency is typically affected by the following factors:
Economic Factors like Government Deficits or Surpluses, Surpluses and deficits in trade of goods and services reflecting the competitiveness of a nation's economy (IE, holding a massive trade deficit will devalue your currency), Inflation Levels, and Economic Growth.
Politics Factors, the stability of a government affects the values of a nation's currencies.
and various other factors, but these are the big ones.
It is also affected by the speculative demand for a currency, which is basically what the expected level of demand for a type of currency will be.
Speculative Demand is affected by interest rates of banks and by outside factors that affect a nation's economy.
In choosing what type of currency to hold, people are also concerned that the currency will retain its value in the future. Most people will not be interested in a currency if they think it will devalue. A currency will tend to lose value, relative to other currencies, if the country's level of inflation is relatively higher, if the country's level of output is expected to decline, or if a country is troubled by political uncertainty.
What does all of this mean?
It means that when people are paying you money for assets in your nation, they should be projecting a loss on their investments because the speculative demand for your various currencies will be very low, that is why PC pulled out in the first place.
It is also why Siri shut down trading with your currencies, because she will be losing money as those currencies become devalued.
now for some numbers. It is a fairly commonly accepted fact in NS that MCs are a powerful currency. The Universal Dollar should have an exchange rate of about 2:1 MC, whereas a more powerful currency like the Pi would have a better exchange rate, say 1.5:1
Since we requested the sum total of 250 Trillion Pis in MCs, that would make the bill approximately 167 Trillion MCs.
As I look over most of the posts, it seems fair to assume that you have been paid in Universal Dollars, so we will assume that is what you were paid in. 125 Trillion Universal Dollars into MCs would convert to about 62.5 Trillion MCs of the 167 Trillion owed. Leaving you with a debt of 104.5 Trillion MCs still left to pay out by the time those assets we sold you, as well as most everything in Allanea, would start seeing serious depreciation in value compared to the international exchange rates.
With all the problems in your nation, it wouldn't be out of line to see some serious Inflation in your nation due to the devaluation of your local currencies.
2. It is not possible for Pilon to posess 250 trillion Menelmacari Credits worth of Allanean stuff. Simply becuase this would be greater then the total value of the Allanean economy (the Menelmacari credit is about 2 Universal standard dollars). The entire Allanean GDP is, according to NStracker, $350 trillion dollars. Thus it's not possible for Pilon to posess $500 trillion of Allanean assets. Further, Pilon explicitly stated before that he posessed 250 trillion USD worth of Allanean currency.
While I used the NSTracker to determine the amount of money owed, it should be noted here that most of NS does not use the values in these Economy Calculators because they do not reflect on the IC affects of RPs conducted. I'm sure it's convenient for your, with your frequent wars and internal problems, to call up the economy calc and see that your nation is still going strong, however the reality is that most people do not recognize this.
That being said this is how a nation's GDP is determined:
GDP = Gross Domestic Product
GDP = consumption + investment + government spending + (exports - imports)
basic definition for these terms:
consumption = goods and services purchased by the end user after taxes and production costs are factored in
investment = production over time, specifically in this equation, everything produced in that year (this one is kind of complex to explain, trying to keep it simple)
government spending = anything purchased by the government and taxes collected
The big thing to point out in this is that GDP is determined on a yearly basis, and PC has been investing in Allanea for longer than one year.
This is one area where the economic calculators fail in NS. There is no real way for the GDP figure shown in the calculator to know that I was investing some of what would be my GDP into your nation, raising your GDP (mostly in the form of interest created from Bank Loans).
Also another point of clarification, I did not state I owned 250 Trillion USD worth of Allanean assets, I stated the sum total of assets at the time the bill was sent to Allanea was 250 Trillion Pis
At no time had any Allanean private currency been transferred to Pilon (since Pilon stated explicitly he does not accept it), but rather a variety of national currencies (whatever currencies I received payment in from the different purchasers, like Roania and USSNA).
I never stated you sent me Allanean currency. If you were going to send me a payment however, you would have to send it in the form of MCs. It is assumed that the initial payment pretty much drained any MCs you had in your nation, most of which would have been used to back up your own currencies. If this is not the case feel free to dispute it. Whatever form of currency you paid in (for simplicity sake lets assume everyone converted it to USD to pay you) had to then turn around and convert that to MCs in order to pay me.
Roania in particular has repeatedly stated that he does not use any Allanean currency to make his payments, here or elsewhere. As to this point, the Allanean government had received 130 trillion USD from different nations' businesses, in the currencies of these nations. Under no exchange system known to the counters does this constitute $36 trillion credits. 130 trillion is what has been transferred to Pilon.
Yeah... about Ro and his currency... contact me on IRC, we have to discuss some things, Ro needs to contact me too.
Allegedly all of that money he paid you in was counterfeited (or at least that was what he was claiming in IRC) and we need to get that worked out, because someone is getting the short end of the stick on that deal, and its most likely either Ro or Allanea.
130 Trillion USD converted (see above) comes to 62.5 Trillion MCs of the 165 Trillion owed in total.
So to sum things up here, Allanea has paid a portion of the total debt, some nations/corps are getting shafted as their investments depreciate (hope they can write this off as a charity) and Allanea is facing an upcoming economic slump, massive inflation, and on top of being invaded is in generally bad shape unless some form of stability can be achieved, the remaining money paid quickly, and likely a whole bunch of foreign investment is made into the Allanean infrastructure.
for reference purposes, the earlier matters mention took place in this thread:
http://forums.jolt.co.uk/showthread.php?t=519025
now, to address a couple comments made by Allanea in that thread.
1. No Allanean dollar exists. As such, it is not humanly possible for you to create 'downward' pressure on a currency that has not been used in any of those transactions.
2. It is not possible for Pilon to posess 250 trillion Menelmacari Credits worth of Allanean stuff. Simply becuase this would be greater then the total value of the Allanean economy (the Menelmacari credit is about 2 Universal standard dollars). The entire Allanean GDP is, according to NStracker, $350 trillion dollars. Thus it's not possible for Pilon to posess $500 trillion of Allanean assets. Further, Pilon explicitly stated before that he posessed 250 trillion USD worth of Allanean currency.
At no time had any Allanean private currency been transferred to Pilon (since Pilon stated explicitly he does not accept it), but rather a variety of national currencies (whatever currencies I received payment in from the different purchasers, like Roania and USSNA).
Roania in particular has repeatedly stated that he does not use any Allanean currency to make his payments, here or elsewhere. As to this point, the Allanean government had received 130 trillion USD from different nations' businesses, in the currencies of these nations. Under no exchange system known to the counters does this constitute $36 trillion credits. 130 trillion is what has been transferred to Pilon.
OOC: I decided the storefront stuff makes this thread look stupid. Pilon, assume all money so far earned from sale of Allanean stuff has been transferred to you, that is, $126 trillion. I will likely deal with the rest of the stuff later when I am not busy being invaded by the necrons.
1. No Allanean dollar exists. As such, it is not humanly possible for you to create 'downward' pressure on a currency that has not been used in any of those transactions.
There are multiple Allanean Currencies in use, while Siri may have mentioned the Dollar for ease of writing, any Allanean Currency would be affected by this pressure.
This probably needs a more in depth explanation so here is an attempt to explain what is going on here.
First off, exchange rate are determined by the demand for a specific currency in correlation to the demand for another type of currency.
Demand for a currency is typically affected by the following factors:
Economic Factors like Government Deficits or Surpluses, Surpluses and deficits in trade of goods and services reflecting the competitiveness of a nation's economy (IE, holding a massive trade deficit will devalue your currency), Inflation Levels, and Economic Growth.
Politics Factors, the stability of a government affects the values of a nation's currencies.
and various other factors, but these are the big ones.
It is also affected by the speculative demand for a currency, which is basically what the expected level of demand for a type of currency will be.
Speculative Demand is affected by interest rates of banks and by outside factors that affect a nation's economy.
In choosing what type of currency to hold, people are also concerned that the currency will retain its value in the future. Most people will not be interested in a currency if they think it will devalue. A currency will tend to lose value, relative to other currencies, if the country's level of inflation is relatively higher, if the country's level of output is expected to decline, or if a country is troubled by political uncertainty.
What does all of this mean?
It means that when people are paying you money for assets in your nation, they should be projecting a loss on their investments because the speculative demand for your various currencies will be very low, that is why PC pulled out in the first place.
It is also why Siri shut down trading with your currencies, because she will be losing money as those currencies become devalued.
now for some numbers. It is a fairly commonly accepted fact in NS that MCs are a powerful currency. The Universal Dollar should have an exchange rate of about 2:1 MC, whereas a more powerful currency like the Pi would have a better exchange rate, say 1.5:1
Since we requested the sum total of 250 Trillion Pis in MCs, that would make the bill approximately 167 Trillion MCs.
As I look over most of the posts, it seems fair to assume that you have been paid in Universal Dollars, so we will assume that is what you were paid in. 125 Trillion Universal Dollars into MCs would convert to about 62.5 Trillion MCs of the 167 Trillion owed. Leaving you with a debt of 104.5 Trillion MCs still left to pay out by the time those assets we sold you, as well as most everything in Allanea, would start seeing serious depreciation in value compared to the international exchange rates.
With all the problems in your nation, it wouldn't be out of line to see some serious Inflation in your nation due to the devaluation of your local currencies.
2. It is not possible for Pilon to posess 250 trillion Menelmacari Credits worth of Allanean stuff. Simply becuase this would be greater then the total value of the Allanean economy (the Menelmacari credit is about 2 Universal standard dollars). The entire Allanean GDP is, according to NStracker, $350 trillion dollars. Thus it's not possible for Pilon to posess $500 trillion of Allanean assets. Further, Pilon explicitly stated before that he posessed 250 trillion USD worth of Allanean currency.
While I used the NSTracker to determine the amount of money owed, it should be noted here that most of NS does not use the values in these Economy Calculators because they do not reflect on the IC affects of RPs conducted. I'm sure it's convenient for your, with your frequent wars and internal problems, to call up the economy calc and see that your nation is still going strong, however the reality is that most people do not recognize this.
That being said this is how a nation's GDP is determined:
GDP = Gross Domestic Product
GDP = consumption + investment + government spending + (exports - imports)
basic definition for these terms:
consumption = goods and services purchased by the end user after taxes and production costs are factored in
investment = production over time, specifically in this equation, everything produced in that year (this one is kind of complex to explain, trying to keep it simple)
government spending = anything purchased by the government and taxes collected
The big thing to point out in this is that GDP is determined on a yearly basis, and PC has been investing in Allanea for longer than one year.
This is one area where the economic calculators fail in NS. There is no real way for the GDP figure shown in the calculator to know that I was investing some of what would be my GDP into your nation, raising your GDP (mostly in the form of interest created from Bank Loans).
Also another point of clarification, I did not state I owned 250 Trillion USD worth of Allanean assets, I stated the sum total of assets at the time the bill was sent to Allanea was 250 Trillion Pis
At no time had any Allanean private currency been transferred to Pilon (since Pilon stated explicitly he does not accept it), but rather a variety of national currencies (whatever currencies I received payment in from the different purchasers, like Roania and USSNA).
I never stated you sent me Allanean currency. If you were going to send me a payment however, you would have to send it in the form of MCs. It is assumed that the initial payment pretty much drained any MCs you had in your nation, most of which would have been used to back up your own currencies. If this is not the case feel free to dispute it. Whatever form of currency you paid in (for simplicity sake lets assume everyone converted it to USD to pay you) had to then turn around and convert that to MCs in order to pay me.
Roania in particular has repeatedly stated that he does not use any Allanean currency to make his payments, here or elsewhere. As to this point, the Allanean government had received 130 trillion USD from different nations' businesses, in the currencies of these nations. Under no exchange system known to the counters does this constitute $36 trillion credits. 130 trillion is what has been transferred to Pilon.
Yeah... about Ro and his currency... contact me on IRC, we have to discuss some things, Ro needs to contact me too.
Allegedly all of that money he paid you in was counterfeited (or at least that was what he was claiming in IRC) and we need to get that worked out, because someone is getting the short end of the stick on that deal, and its most likely either Ro or Allanea.
130 Trillion USD converted (see above) comes to 62.5 Trillion MCs of the 165 Trillion owed in total.
So to sum things up here, Allanea has paid a portion of the total debt, some nations/corps are getting shafted as their investments depreciate (hope they can write this off as a charity) and Allanea is facing an upcoming economic slump, massive inflation, and on top of being invaded is in generally bad shape unless some form of stability can be achieved, the remaining money paid quickly, and likely a whole bunch of foreign investment is made into the Allanean infrastructure.