NationStates Jolt Archive

In this thread, all results for FHWC9 will be posted the day after they are TGed. Tag away. ;)

taga tageta

Matchday 1
The Belmore Family 3 Sliponia 1
Wella 3 Ulan Baator 0
[code:1:6d8bfe63dc]Group A P W D L F A GD Pts
Wella 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
The Belmore Family 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
Sliponia 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
Ulan Baator 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0[/code:1:6d8bfe63dc]
Kaze Progressa 3 Cockbill Street 0
Lovisa 3 KOR3A 4
[code:1:6d8bfe63dc]Group B P W D L F A GD Pts
Kaze Progressa 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
KOR3A 1 1 0 0 4 3 +1 3
Lovisa 1 0 0 1 3 4 -1 0
Cockbill Street 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0[/code:1:6d8bfe63dc]
Rejistania 3 Belmorian Scandinavia 5
Gleam Street 5 Ishtbekistan 0
[code:1:6d8bfe63dc]Group C P W D L F A GD Pts
Gleam Street 1 1 0 0 5 0 +5 3
Belmorian Scandinavia 1 1 0 0 5 3 +2 3
Rejistania 1 0 0 1 3 5 -2 0
Ishtbekistan 1 0 0 1 0 5 -5 0[/code:1:6d8bfe63dc]
Liverpool England 1 New Manhattan 1
NEWI Cefn Druids 3 Argyllia 1
[code:1:6d8bfe63dc]Group D P W D L F A GD Pts
NEWI Cefn Druids 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
Liverpool England 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
New Manhattan 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
Argyllia 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0[/code:1:6d8bfe63dc]
The Official FHWC9 "**** You, Stupid Spreadsheet" Probability Meter
P(TBF beating Sliponia) = 0.4994696
P(TBF beating Sliponia 3-1) = 0.0711155

P(Wella beating Ulan Baator) = 0.6117234
P(Wella beating Ulan Baator 3-0) = 0.0492742

P(KP beating CS) = 0.4994696
P(KP beating CS 3-0) = 0.0335259

P(KOR3A beating Lovisa) = 0.1954251
P(KOR3A beating Lovisa 4-3) = 0.0100352

P(BeS beating Rejis) = 0.3454454
P(BeS beating Rejis 5-3) = 0.0046433

P(Gleam Street beating Ishtbekistan) = 0.8098256
P(Gleam Street beating Ishtbekistan 5-0) = 0.0358858

P(LE drawing with NM) = 0.1928515
P(LE drawing with NM 1-1) = 0.0652158

P(NEWI beating Argyllia) = 0.4768825
P(NEWI beating Argyllia 3-1) = 0.0677187

Most Unlikely Result - LE drawing with NM
Biggest Upset - KOR3A beating Lovisa
Most Shocking Score - Rejistania 3 Belmorian Scandinavia 5

Matchday 2
The Belmore Family 3 Wella 1
Sliponia 2 Ulan Baator 0
[code:1:d28b533474]Group A P W D L F A GD Pts Q/E
The Belmore Family 2 2 0 0 6 2 +4 6 QLF
Wella 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
Sliponia 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
Ulan Baator 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0 ELM[/code:1:d28b533474]
Kaze Progressa 3 Lovisa 1
Cockbill Street 6 KOR3A 0
[code:1:d28b533474]Group B P W D L F A GD Pts Q/E
Kaze Progressa 2 2 0 0 6 1 +5 6
Cockbill Street 2 1 0 1 6 3 +3 3
KOR3A 2 1 0 1 4 9 -5 3
Lovisa 2 0 0 2 4 7 -3 0[/code:1:d28b533474]
Rejistania 3 Gleam Street 1
Belmorian Scandinavia 3 Ishtbekistan 0
[code:1:d28b533474]Group C P W D L F A GD Pts Q/E
Belmorian Scandinavia 2 2 0 0 8 3 +5 6
Gleam Street 2 1 0 1 6 3 +3 3
Rejistania 2 1 0 1 6 6 0 3
Ishtbekistan 2 0 0 2 0 8 -8 0[/code:1:d28b533474]
Liverpool England 3 NEWI Cefn Druids 1
New Manhattan 3 Argyllia 0
[code:1:d28b533474]Group D P W D L F A GD Pts Q/E
New Manhattan 2 1 1 0 4 1 +3 4
Liverpool England 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
NEWI Cefn Druids 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
Argyllia 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 0 ELM[/code:1:d28b533474]
The Official FHWC9 "**** You, Stupid Spreadsheet" Probability Meter
P(TBF beating Wella) = 0.8569293
P(TBF beating Wella 3-1) = 0.1014275

P(Sliponia beating Ulan Baator) = 0.9196767
P(Sliponia beating Ulan Baator 2-0) = 0.1008789

P(KP beating Lovisa) = 0.8419897
P(KP beating Lovisa 3-1) = 0.1025239

P(CS beating KOR3A) = 0.8633685
P(CS beating KOR3A 6-0) = 0.0213924

P(Rejis beating Gleam Street) = 0.7121993
P(Rejis beating Gleam Street 3-1) = 0.0958954

P(BeS beating Ishtbekistan) = 0.9391627
P(BeS beating Ishtbekistan 3-0) = 0.1510132

P(LE beating NEWI) = 0.9009536
P(LE beating NEWI 3-1) = 0.0952707

P(NM beating Argyllia) = 0.9495054
P(NM beating Argyllia 3-0) = 0.0852714

Most Unlikely Result - Rejis beating Gleam Street (overall: LE drawing with NM)
Biggest Upset - Rejis beating Gleam Street (overall: KOR3A beating Lovisa)
Most Shocking Score - Cockbill Street 6 KOR3A 0 (overall: Rejistania 3 Belmorian Scandinavia 5)

(OOC: It seems kind of odd to list Rejis beating Gleam Street as an 'upset'... :P )

Matchday 3
The Belmore Family 4 Ulan Baator 0
Sliponia 3 Wella 0
[code:1:826309c855]Group A P W D L F A GD Pts Q/E
The Belmore Family 3 3 0 0 10 2 +8 9 QLF
Sliponia 3 2 0 1 6 3 +3 6 QLF
Wella 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3 ELM
Ulan Baator 3 0 0 3 0 9 -9 0 ELM[/code:1:826309c855]
Kaze Progressa 2 KOR3A 1
Cockbill Street 0 Lovisa 0
[code:1:826309c855]Group B P W D L F A GD Pts Q/E
Kaze Progressa 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9 QLF
Cockbill Street 3 1 1 1 6 3 +3 4 QLF
KOR3A 3 1 0 2 5 11 -6 3 ELM
Lovisa 4 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1 ELM[/code:1:826309c855]
Rejistania 5 Ishtbekistan 0
Belmorian Scandinavia 3 Gleam Street 3
[code:1:826309c855]Group C P W D L F A GD Pts Q/E
Belmorian Scandinavia 3 2 1 0 11 6 +5 7 QLF
Rejistania 3 2 0 1 11 6 +5 6 QLF
Gleam Street 3 1 1 1 9 6 +3 4 ELM
Ishtbekistan 3 0 0 3 0 13 -13 0 ELM[/code:1:826309c855]
Liverpool England 3 Argyllia 0
New Manhattan 8 NEWI Cefn Druids 1 - generated by Rejistania
[code:1:826309c855]Group D P W D L F A GD Pts Q/E
New Manhattan 3 2 1 0 12 2 +10 7 QLF
Liverpool England 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7 QLF
NEWI Cefn Druids 3 1 0 2 5 12 -7 3 ELM
Argyllia 3 0 0 3 1 9 -8 0 ELM[/code:1:826309c855]
The Official FHWC9 "**** You, Stupid Spreadsheet" Probability Meter
P(TBF beating Ulan Baator) = 0.9738042
P(TBF beating Ulan Baator 4-0) = 0.1755549

P(Sliponia beating Wella) = 0.7747773
P(Sliponia beating Wella 3-0) = 0.0830011

P(KP beating KOR3A) = 0.9222002
P(KP beating KOR3A 2-1) = 0.0598001

P(CS drawing with Lovisa) = 0.1436241
P(CS drawing with Lovisa 0-0) = 0.0102918

P(Rejis beating Ishtbekistan) = 0.9779896
P(Rejis beating Ishtbekistan 5-0) = 0.1437141

P(BeS drawing with Gleam Street) = 0.1482665
P(BeS drawing with Gleam Street 3-3) = 0.0345619

P(LE beating Argyllia) = 0.9689876
P(LE beating Argyllia 3-0) = 0.1765581

P(NM beating NEWI) = 0.9072173
P(NM beating NEWI 8-1) = 0.0063435

Most Unlikely Result - CS drawing with Lovisa (overall: CS drawing with Lovisa)
Biggest Upset - Sliponia beating Wella (overall: KOR3A beating Lovisa)
Most Shocking Score - New Manhattan 8 NEWI Cefn Druids 1 (overall: Rejistania 3 Belmorian Scandinavia 5)

Quarterfinals
Kaze Progressa 2 Liverpool England 1
Belmorian Scandinavia 0 Rejistania 2
The Belmore Family 4 Cockbill Street 1
New Manhattan 1 Sliponia 3 - generated by Rejistania
[code:1:2db5dee8e3]-Kaze Progressa 2-
|-Kaze Progressa -
-Liverpool England 1- |
|---
-Belmorian Scandinavia 0- |
|-Rejistania -
-Rejistania 2-

-The Belmore Family 4-
|-The Belmore Family -
-Cockbill Street 1- |
|---
-New Manhattan 1- |
|-Sliponia -
-Sliponia 3-[/code:1:2db5dee8e3]
The Official FHWC9 "**** You, Stupid Spreadsheet" Probability Meter
P(KP beating LE at FT) = 0.3045139
P(KP beating LE at FT 2-1) = 0.0700717

P(Rejis beating BeS at FT) = 0.5645323
P(Rejis beating BeS at FT 2-0) = 0.0321642

P(TBF beating CS at FT) = 0.5875757
P(TBF beating CS at FT 4-1) = 0.0500789

P(Sliponia beating NM at FT) = 0.2359538
P(Sliponia beating NM at FT 3-1) = 0.0246669

Most Unlikely Result - Sliponia beating NM at FT (overall: CS drawing with Lovisa)
Biggest Upset - Sliponia beating NM at FT (overall: KOR3A beating Lovisa)
Most Shocking Score - New Manhattan 1 Sliponia 3 (overall: Rejistania 3 Belmorian Scandinavia 5)

Semifinals
Kaze Progressa 3 Rejistania 6
The Belmore Family 3 Sliponia 2
[code:1:29a3e0ae15]-Kaze Progressa 2-
|-Kaze Progressa 3-
-Liverpool England 1- |
|-Rejistania -
-Belmorian Scandinavia 0- | |
|-Rejistania 6- |
-Rejistania 2- |
|---
-The Belmore Family 4- |
|-The Belmore Family 3- |
-Cockbill Street 1- | |
|-The Belmore Family -
-New Manhattan 1- |
|-Sliponia 2-
-Sliponia 3-[/code:1:29a3e0ae15]
The Official FHWC9 "**** You, Stupid Spreadsheet" Probability Meter
P(Rejis beating KP at FT) = 0.5841904
P(Rejis beating KP at FT 6-3) = 0.0063906

P(TBF beating Sliponia at FT) = 0.5658001
P(TBF beating Sliponia at FT 3-2) = 0.0749576


Most Unlikely Result - TBF beating Sliponia at FT (overall: CS drawing with Lovisa)
Biggest Upset - TBF beating Sliponia at FT (overall: KOR3A beating Lovisa)
Most Shocking Score - Kaze Progressa 3 Rejistania 6 (overall: Rejistania 3 Belmorian Scandinavia 5)

Finals
Rejistania 5 The Belmore Family 2
Kaze Progressa 3 Sliponia 1
[code:1:b2ff62cfb5]-Kaze Progressa 2-
|-Kaze Progressa 3-
-Liverpool England 1- |
|-Rejistania 5-
-Belmorian Scandinavia 0- | |
|-Rejistania 6- |
-Rejistania 2- |
|-Rejistania
-The Belmore Family 4- |
|-The Belmore Family 3- |
-Cockbill Street 1- | |
|-The Belmore Family 2-
-New Manhattan 1- |
|-Sliponia 2-
-Sliponia 3-[/code:1:b2ff62cfb5]
The Official FHWC9 "**** You, Stupid Spreadsheet" Probability Meter
P(Rejis beating TBF at FT) = 0.5011168
P(Rejis beating TBF at FT 5-2) = 0.0354872 (most shocking score)

P(KP beating Sliponia at FT) = 0.4768825 (most unlikely result, biggest upset)
P(KP beating Sliponia at FT 3-1) = 0.0677187

Awards
Winner of FHWC9 - Rejistania
Runner-Up of FHWC9 - The Belmore Family
Third-Place in FHWC9 - Kaze Progressa
Most Unlikely Result - Cockbill Street drawing with Lovisa - Matchday 3
Biggest Upset - KOR3A beating Lovisa - Matchday 1
Most Shocking Score - Rejistania 3 Belmorian Scandinavia 5 - Matchday 1
Highest-Scoring Game - Kaze Progressa 3 Rejistania 6 and New Manhattan 8 NEWI Cefn Druids 1
Largest Margin of Victory - New Manhattan 8 NEWI Cefn Druids 1
Worst Performance in FHWC9 - Ishtbekistan - 0 pts, GD -13